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Ligue 1
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Monaco
T U S S T
3–2
Full-time
Rennes
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
1,5
Scored
2,2
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
22%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
89%
22%
Both score Ø 56%
67%
44%
Average goals
3,8
1,7
Scored
1,7
0,9
Conceded
2,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 18. · Rennes 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 8 0 2 +16 24
2 Nantes 10 6 1 3 +3 19
3 Reims 10 5 2 3 +5 17
4 Angers 10 5 1 4 +0 16
5 Bordeaux 10 4 3 3 +4 15
6 Lille 10 4 3 3 +3 15
7 Montpellier 10 4 2 4 +1 14
8 Brest 10 3 5 2 -2 14
9 St Etienne 10 4 2 4 -4 14
10 Marseille 9 3 4 2 -1 13
11 Nice 10 4 1 5 -4 13
12 Rennes 9 3 3 3 +1 12
13 Amiens 10 3 3 4 -2 12
14 Toulouse 10 3 3 4 -5 12
15 Metz 10 3 2 5 -5 11
16 Lyon 10 2 4 4 +5 10
17 Nimes 10 2 4 4 -2 10
18 Monaco 9 2 3 4 -4 9
19 Strasbourg 9 2 3 4 -4 9
20 Dijon 10 2 3 5 -5 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Rennes
1–0 W. Ben Yedder
I. Slimani
3′
12′
F. Maouassa 1–1
A. Hunou
Half-time 1–2
48′
A. Hunou 1–2
Islam Slimani 🟨
54′
2–2 I. Slimani
Fàbregas
56′
57′
🟨 Eduardo Camavinga
59′
🟨 Joris Gnagnon
B. Henrichs 🔁
↦ R. Aguilar
65′
K. Baldé 🔁
↦ Jemerson
78′
79′
🔁 Y. Gboho
↦ A. Hunou
79′
🔁 T. Siebatcheu
↦ M. Niang
Boschilia 🔁
↦ Fàbregas
88′
88′
🔁 R. Guitane
↦ H. Traoré
Kamil Glik 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Clément Grenier
3–2 W. Ben Yedder
K. Baldé
93′
Full-time 3–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,81
U
3,72
B
4,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,91
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.