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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Lillestrom
U S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Stromsgodset
U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 29%
36%
21%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
50%
36%
Both score Ø 68%
64%
71%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%
21 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 11. · Stromsgodset 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 14 8 4 2 +13 28
2 Brann 14 7 5 2 +19 26
3 Sarpsborg 08 14 7 4 3 +10 25
4 Aalesund 14 6 4 4 +6 22
5 Molde 14 6 3 5 +5 21
6 Valerenga 14 6 3 5 +1 21
7 Odd 14 6 3 5 -4 21
8 Haugesund 14 5 4 5 -1 19
9 Sandefjord 14 5 3 6 -5 18
10 Stabaek 14 5 3 6 -7 18
11 Lillestrom 14 5 2 7 -3 17
12 Sogndal 14 4 4 6 -4 16
13 Kristiansund 14 4 4 6 -4 16
14 Stromsgodset 14 3 6 5 -5 15
15 Tromso 14 3 5 6 -9 14
16 Viking 14 2 3 9 -12 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Stromsgodset
29′
🟨 Francisco Junior
1–0 S. Udodji
I. Matthew
32′
Shikoze Udoji 🟨
37′
2–0 E. Knudtzon
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 P. Engblom
↦ K. Tokstad
51′
🟨 Eirik Andersen
55′
🔁 A. Hoven
↦ T. Nguen
56′
🟨 Jakob Glesnes
66′
🔁 C. Sivodedov
↦ Francisco Júnior
82′
🟨 Kim Andre Madsen
B. Ajeti 🔁
↦ S. Udodji
84′
86′
🟨 Lars Christopher Vilsvik
90′
🟨 Christian Rubio Sivodedov
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-2
77 A. Origi G
4 M. Amundsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
22 S. Antonijevic D
23 S. Udodji F
5 S. Rafn D
33 A. Melgalvis M
18 B. Innocent M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
11 E. Knudtzon F
Bench (7)
9 B. Ajeti
27 M. Škoda
24 E. Sandberg
7 T. Malec
29 E. Ødegaard
15 E. Brenden
3 S. Mikalsen

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Stromsgodset

4-2-3-1
1 E. Pettersen G
4 K. Madsen D
3 J. Parr D
26 L. Vilsvik D
5 J. Glesnes D
6 H. Hauger M
11 K. Tokstad M
23 E. Andersen M
93 T. Nguen M
19 Francisco Júnior M
33 M. Tagbajumi F
Bench (7)
9 P. Engblom
66 A. Hoven
13 C. Sivodedov
2 M. Hamoud
21 M. Gjerstrøm
77 S. Makani
28 M. Høibråten

Coach: T. Skullerud

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.