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Eliteserien

Referee: Espen Eskas

Stromsgodset

U T S U S

3–1

Full-time

Lillestrom

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 31%

28%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

33%

56%

Both score Ø 64%

61%

67%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 19

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 8

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

7 Offside 5

9 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 12. · Lillestrom 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	19	12	5	2	+24	41
2	Sarpsborg 08	19	9	7	3	+12	34
3	Brann	19	8	7	4	+18	31
4	Molde	19	9	4	6	+9	31
5	Sandefjord	19	8	3	8	-4	27
6	Haugesund	18	7	5	6	+2	26
7	Stabaek	19	7	5	7	-6	26
8	Odd	18	7	4	7	-7	25
9	Aalesund	19	6	6	7	+0	24
10	Lillestrom	18	6	5	7	-1	23
11	Valerenga	17	6	5	6	-1	23
12	Stromsgodset	18	5	7	6	-3	22
13	Sogndal	19	5	5	9	-8	20
14	Kristiansund	19	4	7	8	-9	19
15	Viking	19	3	6	10	-11	15
16	Tromso	17	3	5	9	-15	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	10	7	2	1	+16	23
2	Brann	10	6	3	1	+19	21
3	Sarpsborg 08	10	6	3	1	+12	21
4	Stromsgodset	9	5	3	1	+8	18
5	Sandefjord	9	5	2	2	+5	17
6	Odd	9	5	2	2	+4	17
7	Molde	9	5	1	3	+8	16
8	Haugesund	9	4	4	1	+4	16
9	Valerenga	8	4	3	1	+6	15
10	Kristiansund	10	3	6	1	+3	15
11	Sogndal	9	4	2	3	+4	14
12	Aalesund	10	4	2	4	+3	14
13	Stabaek	10	4	2	4	-1	14
14	Lillestrom	9	4	1	4	+1	13
15	Viking	9	2	3	4	-1	9
16	Tromso	8	1	4	3	-3	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	9	5	3	1	+8	18
2	Molde	10	4	3	3	+1	15
3	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	4	2	+0	13
4	Stabaek	9	3	3	3	-5	12
5	Brann	9	2	4	3	-1	10
6	Lillestrom	9	2	4	3	-2	10
7	Haugesund	9	3	1	5	-2	10
8	Aalesund	9	2	4	3	-3	10
9	Sandefjord	10	3	1	6	-9	10
10	Valerenga	9	2	2	5	-7	8
11	Odd	9	2	2	5	-11	8
12	Tromso	9	2	1	6	-12	7
13	Viking	10	1	3	6	-10	6
14	Sogndal	10	1	3	6	-12	6
15	Stromsgodset	9	0	4	5	-11	4
16	Kristiansund	9	1	1	7	-12	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.