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Super League
Referee: D Karantonis
Xanthi
S T S S T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Xanthi Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Super League · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 44%
71%
17%
Points per game
2,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
71%
67%
Both score Ø 62%
57%
67%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

6 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Xanthi 3. · Aris Thessalonikis 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 8 7 1 0 +12 22
2 PAOK 7 4 3 0 +4 15
3 Xanthi 7 5 0 2 +2 15
4 OFI Crete 8 4 2 2 +7 14
5 Larisa 8 3 3 2 +3 12
6 Volos NFC 7 4 0 3 -4 12
7 AEK 6 3 2 1 +3 11
8 Aris 7 2 2 3 +2 8
9 Atromitos 6 2 2 2 +1 8
10 Asteras Tripolis 7 2 0 5 -4 6
11 Aris Thessalonikis 6 1 2 3 +1 5
12 Panathinaikos 7 1 2 4 -10 5
13 Lamia 6 0 4 2 -4 4
14 Panionios 7 1 1 5 -6 4
15 Panetolikos 7 0 2 5 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Xanthi Aris Thessalonikis
3′
Bruno Gama 0–1
43′
🟨 Lucas Sasha
Half-time 0–1
V. Fasidis 🔁
↦ S. Malezas
46′
Christos Lisgaras 🟨
48′
64′
🔁 A. Ba
↦ M. Korhut
P. Đuričković 🔁
↦ J. Faucher
65′
68′
🔁 D. Larsson
↦ I. Fetfatzidis
Mehdi Terki 🟨
70′
70′
🟨 Lindsay Rose
V. Rennella 🔁
↦ Eduardo
77′
Vasilios Fasidis 🟨
79′
82′
🔁 Hugo Sousa
↦ Bruno Gama
86′
🟨 Daniel Larsson
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Xanthi

4-2-3-1
1 Carlos Abad G
23 S. Malezas D
2 M. Dyrestam D
4 A. Karasalidis D
31 C. Lisgaras D
28 M. Terki F
91 William M
12 Eduardo M
7 Sturgeon M
9 A. Kovačević M
11 J. Faucher F
Bench (7)
27 V. Fasidis
10 P. Đuričković
88 V. Rennella
92 Vitor São Bento
75 T. Moulin
3 J. Barrientos
6 Pablo de Lucas

Coach: Kiko Ramírez

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
1 F. Ehmann G
21 D. Sundgren M
69 M. Korhut D
92 L. Rose D
44 Fran Vélez D
16 Bruno Gama M
7 N. Diguiny F
26 Matilla M
28 I. Fetfatzidis M
88 Lucas Sasha M
11 B. Ideye F
Bench (7)
98 A. Ba
10 D. Larsson
3 Hugo Sousa
19 M. Tonso
75 A. Tsilingiris
24 D. Mancini
5 G. Delizisis

Coach: M. Oenning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Karantonis · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
32,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.