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Pro League
Referee: Bram Van Driessche
Mechelen
U T S T S
3–1
Full-time
Antwerp
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Antwerp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 53%
45%
60%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
73%
70%
Both score Ø 68%
55%
80%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,6
2,3
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 6. · Antwerp 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 12 10 2 0 +26 32
2 Standard 12 8 2 2 +18 26
3 Gent 12 7 2 3 +11 23
4 Genk 13 7 2 4 +8 23
5 Antwerp 10 6 2 2 +11 20
6 Mechelen 11 5 3 3 +0 18
7 Waregem 12 4 5 3 +4 17
8 Mouscron 11 4 4 3 +1 16
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 11 4 4 3 +1 16
10 Charleroi 10 4 3 3 +4 15
11 Kortrijk 12 4 2 6 +1 14
12 St Truiden 12 3 4 5 -8 13
13 Anderlecht 12 2 5 5 -4 11
14 Oostende 12 3 2 7 -10 11
15 Eupen 13 2 4 7 -17 10
16 Waasland-Beveren 11 1 4 6 -14 7
17 Beveren 11 1 4 6 -14 7
18 Cercle Brugge 11 2 0 9 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Antwerp
7′
🟨 Didier Lamkel Ze
19′
D. Mbokani 0–1
S. Coopman
33′
🟨 Kevin Mirallas
1–1 T. Peyre
O. Kaya
40′
2–1 I. de Camargo
N. Storm
45′
Half-time 2–1
52′
🟨 Dieumerci Mbokani
56′
🔁 Z. Gano
↦ S. Coopman
Onur Kaya 🟨
58′
Joachim Van Damme 🟨
64′
L. Bijker 🔁
↦ W. Togui
75′
80′
🔁 A. Baby
↦ R. De Laet
84′
🔁 M. Benson
↦ K. Mirallas
C. Tainmont 🔁
↦ N. Storm
85′
G. Hairemans 🔁
↦ O. Kaya
88′
Igor De Camargo 🟨
89′
3–1 J. Vanlerberghe
G. Hairemans
95′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-3-3
15 Y. Thoelen
4 S. Bateau D
22 A. Corryn D
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
2 J. Van Cleemput D
8 O. Kaya M
13 J. Van Damme M
10 I. de Camargo F
11 N. Storm F
9 W. Togui F
Bench (7)
3 L. Bijker
21 C. Tainmont
7 G. Hairemans
31 D. Vanzeir
1 B. Castro
17 T. Boni
33 G. Alexander

Coach: W. Vrancken

Antwerp

4-3-3
1 S. Bolat G
2 R. De Laet D
15 D. Arslanagic D
22 W. Hoedt D
30 Buta D
38 F. Haroun M
11 L. Refaelov M
20 S. Coopman M
87 K. Mirallas F
70 D. Mbokani F
7 D. Lamkel Ze F
Bench (7)
93 Z. Gano
14 A. Baby
28 M. Benson
25 A. De Sart
18 M. Hongla
5 Matheus
39 J. Teunckens

Coach: L. Bölöni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,39
U
3,63
B
2,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,09
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bram Van Driessche · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.