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Süper Lig

Referee: A Karaoğlan

Kayserispor

T U U T T

1–1

Full-time

Kasimpasa

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,7

This season — Süper Lig · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 15%

29%

Points per game

0,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 57%

71%

43%

Average goals

3,0

2,6

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

23 Shots 9

10 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 9

11 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 17

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 18. · Kasimpasa 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	8	4	3	1	+7	15
2	Alanyaspor	7	4	2	1	+5	14
3	Buyuksehyr	8	4	2	2	+4	14
4	Galatasaray	8	3	4	1	+1	13
5	Sivasspor	8	3	3	2	+4	12
6	Konyaspor	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Fenerbahce	7	3	2	2	+4	11
8	Gaziantep	8	3	2	3	-4	11
9	Antalyaspor	8	3	2	3	-6	11
10	Yeni Malatyaspor	7	3	1	3	+6	10
11	Goztep	8	2	3	3	+0	9
12	Besiktas	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Ankaragücü	8	2	3	3	-5	9
14	Denizlispor	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Rizespor	7	2	2	3	-5	8
16	Kasimpasa	7	2	1	4	-4	7
17	Genclerbirligi	8	1	3	4	+0	6
18	Kayserispor	7	0	3	4	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Sivasspor	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Besiktas	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Galatasaray	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Yeni Malatyaspor	4	2	1	1	+6	7
6	Buyuksehyr	4	2	1	1	+5	7
7	Fenerbahce	4	2	1	1	+5	7
8	Alanyaspor	3	2	1	0	+5	7
9	Goztep	4	2	1	1	+4	7
10	Gaziantep	4	2	1	1	+3	7
11	Konyaspor	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Ankaragücü	4	1	2	1	-3	5
13	Kasimpasa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Rizespor	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Antalyaspor	4	1	1	2	-5	4
16	Denizlispor	3	1	0	2	+0	3
17	Genclerbirligi	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Kayserispor	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Konyaspor	4	2	1	1	+3	7
2	Alanyaspor	4	2	1	1	+0	7
3	Buyuksehyr	4	2	1	1	-1	7
4	Antalyaspor	4	2	1	1	-1	7
5	Trabzonspor	4	1	2	1	+0	5
6	Galatasaray	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Denizlispor	4	1	2	1	-2	5
8	Genclerbirligi	4	1	1	2	+2	4
9	Fenerbahce	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Ankaragücü	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	-4	4
12	Gaziantep	4	1	1	2	-7	4
13	Yeni Malatyaspor	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Kasimpasa	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Sivasspor	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Goztep	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Kayserispor	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Besiktas	4	0	1	3	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.