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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Anderlecht
T T U U S
4–1
Full-time
St Truiden
U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 21%
17%
25%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 38%
42%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 13. · St Truiden 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 12 10 2 0 +26 32
2 Standard 12 8 2 2 +18 26
3 Gent 12 7 2 3 +11 23
4 Genk 13 7 2 4 +8 23
5 Mechelen 12 6 3 3 +2 21
6 Antwerp 11 6 2 3 +9 20
7 Waregem 12 4 5 3 +4 17
8 Mouscron 11 4 4 3 +1 16
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 11 4 4 3 +1 16
10 Charleroi 10 4 3 3 +4 15
11 Kortrijk 12 4 2 6 +1 14
12 St Truiden 12 3 4 5 -8 13
13 Anderlecht 12 2 5 5 -4 11
14 Oostende 12 3 2 7 -10 11
15 Eupen 13 2 4 7 -17 10
16 Waasland-Beveren 11 1 4 6 -14 7
17 Beveren 11 1 4 6 -14 7
18 Cercle Brugge 11 2 0 9 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,43
U
4,65
B
6,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,44
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.