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Premier League

Referee: Martin Atkinson

Man United

U S T U T

1–1

Full-time

Liverpool

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Liverpool

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

0,8

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

0,7

2,3

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,7

This season — Premier League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 63%

25%

100%

Points per game

1,1

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

25%

88%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,1

3,3

Scored

1,1

2,5

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%

7 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 1

4 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Man United 14. · Liverpool 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	8	8	0	0	+14	24
2	Man City	9	6	1	2	+20	19
3	Leicester	9	5	2	2	+8	17
4	Chelsea	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Arsenal	8	4	3	1	+2	15
6	Crystal Palace	9	4	2	3	-2	14
7	Tottenham	9	3	3	3	+2	12
8	Burnley	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Bournemouth	9	3	3	3	+0	12
10	West Ham	9	3	3	3	-2	12
11	Aston Villa	9	3	2	4	+2	11
12	Wolves	9	2	5	2	+0	11
13	Everton	9	3	1	5	-5	10
14	Man United	8	2	3	3	+1	9
15	Sheffield United	8	2	3	3	+0	9
16	Brighton	9	2	3	4	-3	9
17	Southampton	9	2	2	5	-7	8
18	Newcastle	9	2	2	5	-9	8
19	Norwich	9	2	1	6	-11	7
20	Watford	9	0	4	5	-16	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Liverpool	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Tottenham	5	3	1	1	+6	10
4	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Burnley	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Everton	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Aston Villa	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Chelsea	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Crystal Palace	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Man City	4	2	1	1	+10	7
11	Man United	4	2	1	1	+4	7
12	Bournemouth	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Wolves	5	1	3	1	-1	6
14	Norwich	4	2	0	2	-2	6
15	West Ham	4	2	0	2	-2	6
16	Brighton	4	1	2	1	+1	5
17	Newcastle	4	1	2	1	+0	5
18	Sheffield United	4	1	0	3	-2	3
19	Watford	4	0	2	2	-5	2
20	Southampton	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	5	4	0	1	+10	12
2	Liverpool	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Chelsea	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Southampton	5	2	1	2	-1	7
5	Sheffield United	4	1	3	0	+2	6
6	West Ham	5	1	3	1	+0	6
7	Bournemouth	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Crystal Palace	4	2	0	2	-3	6
9	Wolves	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Arsenal	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Leicester	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Brighton	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Aston Villa	4	1	0	3	+0	3
14	Burnley	5	0	3	2	-2	3
15	Newcastle	5	1	0	4	-9	3
16	Man United	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Tottenham	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Watford	5	0	2	3	-11	2
19	Everton	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Norwich	5	0	1	4	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.