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Süper Lig

Referee: F Aydınus

Denizlispor

U T U T T

1–2

Full-time

Fenerbahce

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Denizlispor Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

This season — Süper Lig · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

29%

43%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

14%

57%

Both score Ø 43%

29%

57%

Average goals

2,0

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%

3 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Denizlispor 14. · Fenerbahce 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	8	5	2	1	+8	17
2	Trabzonspor	8	4	3	1	+7	15
3	Buyuksehyr	8	4	2	2	+4	14
4	Galatasaray	8	3	4	1	+1	13
5	Sivasspor	8	3	3	2	+4	12
6	Konyaspor	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Fenerbahce	7	3	2	2	+4	11
8	Gaziantep	8	3	2	3	-4	11
9	Antalyaspor	8	3	2	3	-6	11
10	Yeni Malatyaspor	7	3	1	3	+6	10
11	Goztep	8	2	3	3	+0	9
12	Besiktas	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Ankaragücü	8	2	3	3	-5	9
14	Denizlispor	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Kasimpasa	8	2	2	4	-4	8
16	Rizespor	8	2	2	4	-8	8
17	Genclerbirligi	8	1	3	4	+0	6
18	Kayserispor	8	0	4	4	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Trabzonspor	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Sivasspor	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Besiktas	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Galatasaray	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Yeni Malatyaspor	4	2	1	1	+6	7
7	Buyuksehyr	4	2	1	1	+5	7
8	Fenerbahce	4	2	1	1	+5	7
9	Goztep	4	2	1	1	+4	7
10	Gaziantep	4	2	1	1	+3	7
11	Konyaspor	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Ankaragücü	4	1	2	1	-3	5
13	Kasimpasa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Rizespor	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Antalyaspor	4	1	1	2	-5	4
16	Denizlispor	3	1	0	2	+0	3
17	Kayserispor	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Genclerbirligi	4	0	2	2	-2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Konyaspor	4	2	1	1	+3	7
2	Alanyaspor	4	2	1	1	+0	7
3	Buyuksehyr	4	2	1	1	-1	7
4	Antalyaspor	4	2	1	1	-1	7
5	Trabzonspor	4	1	2	1	+0	5
6	Galatasaray	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Denizlispor	4	1	2	1	-2	5
8	Genclerbirligi	4	1	1	2	+2	4
9	Fenerbahce	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Ankaragücü	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Kasimpasa	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Rizespor	4	1	1	2	-7	4
13	Gaziantep	4	1	1	2	-7	4
14	Yeni Malatyaspor	3	1	0	2	+0	3
15	Sivasspor	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Goztep	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Kayserispor	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Besiktas	4	0	1	3	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.