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Ekstraklasa
Arka Gdynia
S T S U T
2–2
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arka Gdynia Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
18%
45%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
36%
55%
Both score Ø 55%
36%
73%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Arka Gdynia 14. · Lechia Gdansk 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pogon Szczecin 12 7 3 2 +6 24
2 Wisla Plock 12 7 1 4 -2 22
3 Piast Gliwice 12 6 3 3 +5 21
4 Jagiellonia 12 5 5 2 +7 20
5 Cracovia 12 6 2 4 +5 20
6 Legia 12 6 2 4 +2 20
7 Lechia Gdansk 11 5 4 2 +4 19
8 Lech Poznan 12 5 3 4 +7 18
9 Slask Wroclaw 11 4 6 1 +4 18
10 Zaglebie 12 4 3 5 +2 15
11 Gornik Zabrze 11 3 4 4 -1 13
12 Rakow 11 4 0 7 -4 12
13 Wisla 12 3 2 7 -3 11
14 Arka Gdynia 11 2 3 6 -10 9
15 Korona Kielce 12 2 2 8 -12 8
16 LKS Lodz 11 2 1 8 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.