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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Stabaek
S T U T U
1–1
Full-time
Valerenga
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
25%
44%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 47%
38%
56%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
0,9
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
5 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 14. · Valerenga 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 17 11 3 3 +23 36
2 Bodo/Glimt 16 11 2 3 +13 35
3 Odd 17 10 3 4 +6 33
4 Brann 17 8 5 4 +6 29
5 Rosenborg 17 8 4 5 +5 28
6 Valerenga 16 7 4 5 +9 25
7 Kristiansund 16 6 5 5 +2 23
8 Haugesund 17 5 6 6 +5 21
9 Lillestrom 17 6 3 8 -6 21
10 Viking 16 5 4 7 -6 19
11 Ranheim 17 5 3 9 -11 18
12 Mjondalen 17 3 8 6 -5 17
13 Tromso 17 5 2 10 -16 17
14 Stabaek 16 4 4 8 -7 16
15 Sarpsborg 08 16 2 8 6 -5 14
16 Stromsgodset 17 3 4 10 -13 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Valerenga
14′
🔁 Christian Dahle Borchgrevink
↦ Efrain Juarez
Andreas Hanche-Olsen 🟨
38′
41′
🟨 Aron Dønnum
Half-time 0–1
48′
Mayron George 0–1
57′
🟨 Johan Bjørdal
Tortol Lumanza 🔁
↦ Daniel Braaten
63′
1–1 Andreas Hanche-Olsen
Ronald Hernández
65′
67′
🔁 Bard Finne
↦ Mayron George
72′
🟨 Christian Dahle Borchgrevink
Vadim Demidov 🟨
74′
Ronald Hernández 🟨
81′
82′
🟨 Bard Finne
Kosuke Kinoshita 🔁
↦ Kasper Junker
83′
83′
🔁 Deyver Vega
↦ Herolind Shala
90′
🟨 Deyver Vega
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stabaek

4-4-2
12 Marcus Sandberg G
16 Andreas Hanche-Olsen D
3 Yaw Amankwah D
4 Vadim Demidov D
18 Jeppe Moe D
2 Ronald Hernández M
8 Emil Bohinen M
22 Sammy Skytte M
20 Ola Brynhildsen M
21 Kasper Junker F
17 Daniel Braaten F
Bench (7)
1 Simen Lillevik Kjellevold
5 Steinar Stromnes
30 Peder Vogt
25 Hugo Vetlesen
67 Tortol Lumanza
19 Kosuke Kinoshita
88 Herman Geelmuyden

Coach: J. Jönsson

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
13 Kristoffer Klaesson G
5 Efrain Juarez D
3 Johan Bjørdal D
22 Ivan Nasberg D
25 Sam Adekugbe D
8 Magnus Lekven M
14 Mohammed Abu M
26 Aron Dønnum M
10 Matthías Vilhjálmsson M
6 Herolind Shala M
9 Mayron George F
Bench (7)
1 Kjetil Haug
2 Markus Nakkim
27 Pierre Kanstrup
18 Christian Dahle Borchgrevink
23 Felix Horn Myhre
11 Bard Finne
7 Deyver Vega

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.