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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Stabaek
T U U S T
1–1
Full-time
Valerenga
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 32%
21%
42%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
58%
63%
Both score Ø 57%
67%
46%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
6 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 8
0 Offside 5
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 14. · Valerenga 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 24 16 4 4 +23 52
2 Brann 24 14 6 4 +13 48
3 Molde 24 13 4 7 +18 43
4 Haugesund 24 12 5 7 +8 41
5 Ranheim 24 11 5 8 -2 38
6 Valerenga 24 10 6 8 -2 36
7 Odd 24 9 7 8 +6 34
8 Tromso 24 10 3 11 +2 33
9 Sarpsborg 08 24 9 5 10 +5 32
10 Kristiansund 24 8 7 9 -3 31
11 Bodo/Glimt 24 6 9 9 -2 27
12 Stromsgodset 24 6 8 10 +0 26
13 Lillestrom 24 6 7 11 -11 25
14 Stabaek 24 5 8 11 -14 23
15 Start 24 6 5 13 -18 23
16 Sandefjord 24 2 9 13 -23 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Valerenga
1–0 F. Boli
J. Moe
41′
Half-time 1–0
61′
🔁 A. Dønnum
↦ C. Ejuke
72′
🔁 F. Myhre
↦ M. Grødem
E. Bohinen 🔁
↦ O. Omoijuanfo
78′
Franck Boli 🟨
81′
83′
🔁 S. Friðjónsson
↦ A. Nouri
Aboubakar Keita 🟨
86′
87′
S. Johnson 1–1
90′
🟨 Aron Donnum
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stabaek

4-4-2
12 M. Sandberg G
21 D. Granli D
16 A. Hanche-Olsen D
2 R. Hernández D
18 J. Moe D
19 A. Keita M
11 M. Njie M
8 J. Sæter M
42 T. Børkeeiet M
99 O. Omoijuanfo F
10 F. Boli F
Bench (7)
23 E. Bohinen
1 S. Kjellevold
4 V. Demidov
14 K. Askildsen
15 M. Olsen
50 O. Aga
77 F. Valenčič

Coach: H. Berg

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
21 A. Kwarasey G
4 J. Nation D
33 A. Nouri D
25 S. Adekugbe D
5 F. Carvalho D
7 D. Holm M
14 M. Abu M
29 M. Grødem M
11 B. Finne M
10 S. Johnson F
40 C. Ejuke F
Bench (7)
26 A. Dønnum
23 F. Myhre
27 S. Friðjónsson
6 A. Ibrahim
8 M. Lekven
13 K. Klaesson
22 I. Näsberg

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.