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Conference League
Referee: M Jollenbeck
4–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HNK Hajduk Split FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,7
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Conference League · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 80%
100%
60%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 90%
100%
80%
Average goals
7,0
5,2
Scored
5,0
2,8
Conceded
2,0
2,4
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
7 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 2
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

HNK Hajduk Split FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Half-time 1–0
1–0 D. Melnjak
A. Sutalo
53′
A. Guram 🔁
↦ M. Soticek
60′
63′
🔁 N. Mihajlovic
↦ P. Golubickas
63′
🔁 I. Lytvynenko
↦ Y. Kendysh
N. Sigur 🔁
↦ A. Pajaziti
68′
M. Sego 🔁
↦ M. Livaja
68′
E. Brruti 🔁
↦ D. de Almeida
68′
2–0 A. Guram
69′
72′
🔁 K. Upstas
↦ D. Franke
72′
🔁 M. Vareika
↦ N. Petkovic
A. Sanyang 🔁
↦ A. Sutalo
75′
78′
🔁 L. Antal
↦ S. Bilenkyi
2–1 D. Koy Lupano
own goal
80′
3–1 M. Sego
A. Sanyang
82′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

HNK Hajduk Split

4-2-3-1
33 T. Silic G
22 M. Acapandie D
15 D. Maresic D
14 R. Raci D
17 D. Melnjak D
20 A. del Moral M
4 A. Pajaziti M
16 A. Sutalo M
9 D. de Almeida M
23 M. Soticek M
10 M. Livaja F
Bench (12)
1 I. Ivusic
44 D. Stipica
3 R. Gabric
5 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
7 A. Sanyang
8 N. Sigur
11 M. Sego
19 E. Brruti
21 R. Pukstas
26 A. Guram
32 S. Hrgovic
38 L. Hodak

Coach: Gonzalo Garcia

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

4-2-3-1
1 C. Olses G
18 D. Sesplaukis M
4 D. Koy Lupano
15 P. Bosancic D
21 D. Franke D
77 Y. Kendysh D
6 M. Capan M
10 P. Golubickas M
19 S. Bilenkyi F
70 B. Teixeira M
11 N. Petkovic F
Bench (12)
12 V. Sarkauskas
5 G. Turda
7 N. Mihajlovic
8 L. Antal
9 G. Jarusevicius
13 K. Upstas
14 M. Setkus
20 I. Lytvynenko
22 O. Verbickas
23 S. Mamatsashvili
27 M. Vareika
29 K. Bicka

Coach: Andrius Skerla

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Jollenbeck · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.