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Conference League
Referee: M Nagtegaal
2–5
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Zalgiris Vilnius HNK Hajduk Split
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

48% Possession 52%
5 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Line-ups

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

4-2-3-1
12 V. Sarkauskas
18 D. Sesplaukis M
4 D. Koy Lupano
15 P. Bosancic D
21 D. Franke D
20 I. Lytvynenko M
77 Y. Kendysh D
10 P. Golubickas M
19 S. Bilenkyi F
70 B. Teixeira M
11 N. Petkovic F
Bench (12)
1 C. Olses
5 G. Turda
6 M. Capan
7 N. Mihajlovic
8 L. Antal
9 G. Jarusevicius
13 K. Upstas
14 M. Setkus
22 O. Verbickas
23 S. Mamatsashvili
27 M. Vareika
29 K. Bicka

Coach: Andrius Skerla

HNK Hajduk Split

4-2-3-1
33 T. Silic G
22 M. Acapandie D
15 D. Maresic D
5 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
32 S. Hrgovic D
21 R. Pukstas M
4 A. Pajaziti M
7 A. Sanyang M
9 D. de Almeida M
23 M. Soticek M
11 M. Sego F
Bench (12)
44 D. Stipica
99 D. Fesyuk
3 R. Gabric
8 N. Sigur
10 M. Livaja
14 R. Raci
16 A. Sutalo
17 D. Melnjak
19 E. Brruti
20 A. del Moral
26 A. Guram
38 L. Hodak

Coach: Gonzalo Garcia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Nagtegaal · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.