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Super League
Referee: Marijan Drmic
Grasshoppers
S S U S U
1–4
Full-time
Lugano
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grasshoppers Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,83 xG 2,13
42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
11 Free kicks against 4
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Grasshoppers 8. · Lugano 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 2 2 0 0 +8 +4.3 6
2 St. Gallen 2 2 0 0 +2 +0.6 6
3 Lausanne 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.6 4
4 Lugano 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.0 3
5 Zurich 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.5 3
6 Basel 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.2 3
7 Thun 2 1 0 1 -4 -3.6 3
8 Grasshoppers 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.1 1
9 Vaduz 2 0 0 2 -2 -1.1 0
10 Sion 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.5 0
11 Luzern 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.9 0
12 Servette 2 0 0 2 -2 -0.5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grasshoppers Lugano
1–0 L. Plange
S. Stroscio
22′
Half-time 1–0
O. Clemente 🔁
↦ L. Plange
46′
46′
🔁 K. Behrens
↦ R. Steffen
46′
🔁 Y. Cimignani
↦ J. Bichsel
52′
D. Moncada 1–1
A. Grgic
A. Diaby 🔁
↦ D. Paloschi
58′
S. Marques 🔁
↦ H. Imourane
58′
S. Bengondo 🔁
↦ N. Muci
58′
67′
🔁 E. Pihlstrom
↦ D. Moncada
71′
Y. Cimignani 1–2
A. Grgic
A. Conateh 🔁
↦ A. Abrashi
75′
78′
E. Pihlstrom 1–3
K. Behrens
81′
🔁 H. Delcroix
↦ D. Dos Santos
81′
🔁 A. Kendouci
↦ A. Grgic
Tim Meyer 🟨
85′
90′
Y. Cimignani 1–4
A. Kendouci
Nico Rissi 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Grasshoppers

4-3-3
71 J. Hammel G
28 S. Stroscio D
73 D. Paloschi D
4 L. Mikulic D
57 N. Rissi D
5 H. Imourane M
8 T. Meyer M
6 A. Abrashi M
7 L. Plange F
9 N. Muci F
17 S. Krasniqi F
Bench (9)
1 M. Hubel
10 O. Clemente
15 A. Diaby
23 S. Marques
60 S. Bengondo
22 P. Creti
56 D. Sahin
55 D. Papic
14 A. Conateh

Coach: Peter Zeidler

Lugano

5-3-2
16 D. von Ballmoos G
46 M. Zanotti D
6 A. Papadopoulos D
17 L. Mai D
18 J. Bichsel D
7 E. Alioski D
25 U. Bislimi M
8 A. Grgic M
27 D. Dos Santos M
11 R. Steffen F
30 D. Moncada F
Bench (9)
28 F. Gebhardt
91 K. Behrens
21 Y. Cimignani
23 G. Ajdin
22 B. D. Castro Espinosa
4 D. Kelvin
24 E. Pihlstrom
3 H. Delcroix
14 A. Kendouci

Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.