Super League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Grasshoppers
Lugano
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Young Boys
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +8 | +4.3 | 6 |
| 2 |
St. Gallen
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +0.6 | 6 |
| 3 |
Lausanne
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | -0.6 | 4 |
| 4 |
Lugano
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +1.0 | 3 |
| 5 |
Zurich
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | -0.5 | 3 |
| 6 |
Basel
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | +1.2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Thun
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | -3.6 | 3 |
| 8 |
Grasshoppers
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.1 | 1 |
| 9 |
Vaduz
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -1.1 | 0 |
| 10 |
Sion
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -1.5 | 0 |
| 11 |
Luzern
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | +0.9 | 0 |
| 12 |
Servette
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -0.5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Hammel
G
S. Stroscio
D
D. Paloschi
D
L. Mikulic
D
N. Rissi
D
H. Imourane
M
T. Meyer
M
A. Abrashi
M
L. Plange
F
N. Muci
F
S. Krasniqi
F
Coach: Peter Zeidler
D. von Ballmoos
G
M. Zanotti
D
A. Papadopoulos
D
L. Mai
D
J. Bichsel
D
E. Alioski
D
U. Bislimi
M
A. Grgic
M
D. Dos Santos
M
R. Steffen
F
D. Moncada
F
Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lausanne
Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
FC Aarau
FC Aarau
Grasshoppers
Lausanne
Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
Winterthur
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.