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Eliteserien

Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen

Lillestrom

S U U U T

2–1

Full-time

Valerenga

S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

1,7

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Eliteserien · 19/18 matches

Win Ø 33%

32%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

58%

39%

Both score Ø 59%

68%

50%

Average goals

3,1

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

31% Possession 69%

15 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 7

5 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 12. · Valerenga 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	19	12	5	2	+24	41
2	Sarpsborg 08	19	9	7	3	+12	34
3	Brann	19	8	7	4	+18	31
4	Molde	19	9	4	6	+9	31
5	Sandefjord	19	8	3	8	-4	27
6	Haugesund	18	7	5	6	+2	26
7	Stabaek	19	7	5	7	-6	26
8	Stromsgodset	19	6	7	6	-1	25
9	Odd	18	7	4	7	-7	25
10	Aalesund	19	6	6	7	+0	24
11	Valerenga	18	6	6	6	-1	24
12	Lillestrom	19	6	5	8	-3	23
13	Sogndal	19	5	5	9	-8	20
14	Kristiansund	19	4	7	8	-9	19
15	Viking	19	3	6	10	-11	15
16	Tromso	18	3	6	9	-15	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	10	7	2	1	+16	23
2	Brann	10	6	3	1	+19	21
3	Sarpsborg 08	10	6	3	1	+12	21
4	Stromsgodset	10	6	3	1	+10	21
5	Sandefjord	9	5	2	2	+5	17
6	Odd	9	5	2	2	+4	17
7	Molde	9	5	1	3	+8	16
8	Valerenga	9	4	4	1	+6	16
9	Haugesund	9	4	4	1	+4	16
10	Kristiansund	10	3	6	1	+3	15
11	Sogndal	9	4	2	3	+4	14
12	Aalesund	10	4	2	4	+3	14
13	Stabaek	10	4	2	4	-1	14
14	Lillestrom	9	4	1	4	+1	13
15	Viking	9	2	3	4	-1	9
16	Tromso	8	1	4	3	-3	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	9	5	3	1	+8	18
2	Molde	10	4	3	3	+1	15
3	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	4	2	+0	13
4	Stabaek	9	3	3	3	-5	12
5	Brann	9	2	4	3	-1	10
6	Haugesund	9	3	1	5	-2	10
7	Aalesund	9	2	4	3	-3	10
8	Lillestrom	10	2	4	4	-4	10
9	Sandefjord	10	3	1	6	-9	10
10	Valerenga	9	2	2	5	-7	8
11	Odd	9	2	2	5	-11	8
12	Tromso	10	2	2	6	-12	8
13	Viking	10	1	3	6	-10	6
14	Sogndal	10	1	3	6	-12	6
15	Stromsgodset	9	0	4	5	-11	4
16	Kristiansund	9	1	1	7	-12	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.