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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Stromsgodset
U U T S U
2–0
Full-time
Valerenga
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 17/16 matches
Win Ø 31%
24%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
35%
44%
Both score Ø 61%
65%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

36% Possession 64%
14 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 13. · Valerenga 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 18 11 5 2 +23 38
2 Sarpsborg 08 18 9 6 3 +12 33
3 Molde 18 9 4 5 +10 31
4 Brann 18 7 7 4 +16 28
5 Haugesund 17 7 4 6 +2 25
6 Odd 17 7 4 6 -5 25
7 Stabaek 18 7 4 7 -6 25
8 Sandefjord 18 7 3 8 -5 24
9 Valerenga 16 6 5 5 +1 23
10 Aalesund 18 6 5 7 +0 23
11 Lillestrom 18 6 5 7 -1 23
12 Sogndal 18 5 5 8 -7 20
13 Stromsgodset 17 4 7 6 -5 19
14 Kristiansund 18 4 6 8 -9 18
15 Viking 18 3 5 10 -11 14
16 Tromso 17 3 5 9 -15 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Valerenga
1–0 Marcus Pedersen
L. Vilsvik
5′
2–0 Bassel Jradi
J. Glesnes
22′
37′
🟨 Enar Jääger
Half-time 2–0
K. Tokstad 🔁
↦ T. Nguen
68′
69′
🔁 C. Ejuke
↦ B. Finne
71′
🔁 E. Agyiri
↦ M. Lekven
M. Høibråten 🔁
↦ K. Madsen
78′
78′
🔁 A. Ibrahim
↦ D. Berntsen
81′
🟨 Ernest Agyiri
C. Sivodedov 🔁
↦ Bassel Jradi
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-4-1-1
1 E. Pettersen G
4 K. Madsen D
3 J. Parr D
26 L. Vilsvik D
5 J. Glesnes D
6 H. Hauger M
23 E. Andersen M
93 T. Nguen M
19 Francisco Júnior M
8 Bassel Jradi M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
11 K. Tokstad
28 M. Høibråten
13 C. Sivodedov
9 P. Engblom
25 S. Ringstad
66 A. Hoven
77 S. Makani

Coach: T. Skullerud

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
33 A. Kwarasey G
3 E. Jääger D
4 J. Nation D
5 R. Lundström D
8 M. Lekven M
19 C. Grindheim F
15 D. Berntsen F
10 G. Zahid M
21 S. Juklerød D
26 A. Dønnum M
11 B. Finne M
Bench (7)
40 C. Ejuke
39 E. Agyiri
6 A. Ibrahim
1 M. Sandberg
22 I. Näsberg
27 S. Fridjónsson
29 M. Grødem

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.