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Ligue 1
Referee: Thomas Leonard
Rennes
S S T U T
2–2
Full-time
Dijon
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
3,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
14 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 0
1 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 14. · Dijon 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Lyon 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Marseille 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 St Etienne 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Bordeaux 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 Angers 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Troyes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Toulouse 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Lille 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Montpellier 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Strasbourg 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Guingamp 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Rennes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Nice 2 0 0 2 -2 0
16 Caen 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Amiens 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Nantes 2 0 0 2 -4 0
19 Metz 3 0 0 3 -5 0
20 Dijon 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Dijon
1–0 N. Mubele
I. Sarr
14′
32′
🟨 Cédric Yambéré
Half-time 2–0
2–0 N. Mubele
B. André
46′
51′
Kwon Chang-Hoon 2–1
66′
🟨 Fouad Chafik
J. Lea Siliki 🔁
↦ M. Amalfitano
68′
Benjamin André 🟨
69′
74′
🔁 Júlio Tavares
↦ F. Sammaritano
Ludovic Baal 🔁
↦ F. Maouassa
77′
86′
🔁 V. Rosier
↦ F. Chafik
86′
🔁 Dylan Bahamboula
↦ F. Balmont
87′
🟨 Júlio Tavares
Edson Mexer 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Oussama Haddadi
92′
Júlio Tavares 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-2
1 A. Diallo G
4 Mexer D
27 H. Traoré D
15 R. Bensebaini D
5 J. Gnagnon D
18 M. Amalfitano M
21 B. André M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
17 F. Maouassa D
9 N. Mubele F
7 I. Sarr M
Bench (7)
12 J. Lea Siliki
24 Ludovic Baal
16 R. M'Bolhi
19 J. Tell
28 Y. Gourcuff
29 R. Danzé
35 N. Janvier

Coach: C. Gourcuff

Dijon

4-1-4-1
30 B. Reynet G
27 C. Varrault
5 O. Haddadi D
26 F. Chafik D
18 C. Yamberé D
15 F. Balmont M
7 F. Sammaritano M
20 R. Amalfitano M
14 J. Marié M
10 N. Sliti M
22 Kwon Chang-Hoon M
Bench (7)
11 Júlio Tavares
19 V. Rosier
24 Dylan Bahamboula
17 J. Benet
1 B. Leroy
2 Á. Lang
25 A. Bouka Moutou

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Thomas Leonard · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.