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Eredivisie

Referee: Siemen Mulder

Twente

S T T T T

1–2

Full-time

VVV Venlo

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente VVV Venlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

0,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

3,0

Conceded

2,2

0,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+3,0

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

56% Possession 44%

11 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 5

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Twente 14. · VVV Venlo 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Groningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Roda	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Groningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Twente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
10	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.