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Bundesliga
Referee: Daniel Siebert
Hamburg
T T U U S
1–0
Full-time
Augsburg
T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
11 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Apr -17 Augsburg – Hamburg 4–0 10. Dec -16 Hamburg – Augsburg 1–0 14. May -16 Augsburg – Hamburg 1–3 19. Dec -15 Hamburg – Augsburg 0–1

Match report

Hamburg Augsburg
1–0 N. Müller ⚽
Walace
8′
A. Hunt 🔁
↦ N. Müller
15′
20′
🟨 Philipp Max
28′
🟨 Michael Gregoritsch
Rick Van Drongelen 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–0
Kyriakos Papadopoulos 🟨
49′
L. Waldschmidt 🔁
↦ F. Kostić
61′
67′
🔁 S. Córdova
↦ M. Gregoritsch
72′
🟨 Martin Hinteregger
77′
🔁 E. Thommy
↦ J. Schmid
Albin Ekdal 🟨
80′
S. Schipplock 🔁
↦ B. Wood
87′
Dennis Diekmeier 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-2-3-1
1 C. Mathenia G
9 K. Papadopoulos D
2 D. Diekmeier D
28 G. Jung M
4 R. van Drongelen D
20 A. Ekdal M
27 N. Müller M
17 F. Kostić M
12 Walace M
11 A. Hahn F
7 B. Wood F
Bench (7)
14 A. Hunt
15 L. Waldschmidt
19 S. Schipplock
8 L. Holtby
13 J. Pollersbeck
16 V. Janjičić
24 G. Sakai

Coach: M. Gisdol

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
36 M. Hinteregger D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
31 P. Max D
32 R. Framberger D
10 D. Baier M
30 Caiuby M
17 J. Schmid M
19 Ja-Cheol Koo M
27 A. Finnbogason F
11 M. Gregoritsch M
Bench (7)
21 S. Córdova
26 E. Thommy
1 A. Luthe
4 D. Opare
7 M. Heller
8 R. Khedira
38 K. Danso

Coach: M. Baum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Daniel Siebert · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.