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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Brych
Mainz
U T U S T
0–1
Full-time
Hannover
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Feb -16 Hannover – Mainz 0–1 29. Aug -15 Mainz – Hannover 3–0

Match report

Mainz Hannover
11′
🟨 Julian Korb
21′
🟨 Felix Klaus
29′
🟨 Pirmin Schwegler
Fabian Frei 🟨
41′
45′
🟨 Matthias Ostrzolek
Half-time 0–0
R. Quaison 🔁
↦ A. Maxim
66′
L. Öztunali 🔁
↦ V. Fischer
66′
73′
⚽ M. Harnik 0–1
M. Ostrzolek
74′
🔁 M. Bakalorz
↦ N. Füllkrug
Danny Latza 🟨
76′
Kenan 🔁
↦ G. Donati
81′
86′
🔁 C. Benschop
↦ M. Harnik
Stefan Bell 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Marvin Bakalorz
93′
🔁 M. Schmiedebach
↦ P. Schwegler
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Mainz

4-2-3-1
1 R. Adler G
18 D. Brosinski D
2 G. Donati D
16 S. Bell D
4 A. Diallo D
20 F. Frei M
6 D. Latza M
10 A. Maxim M
32 P. De Blasis M
14 V. Fischer F
9 Y. Muto F
Bench (7)
7 R. Quaison
8 L. Öztunali
19 Kenan
3 L. Balogun
21 K. Onisiwo
23 S. Serdar
27 R. Zentner

Coach: S. Schwarz

Hannover

4-4-2
1 P. Tschauner G
5 Felipe D
19 F. Hübner D
22 M. Ostrzolek M
31 W. Anton D
27 P. Schwegler M
4 J. Korb M
11 F. Klaus M
26 K. Karaman F
14 M. Harnik F
24 N. Füllkrug F
Bench (7)
6 M. Bakalorz
35 C. Benschop
8 M. Schmiedebach
10 S. Maier
23 M. Esser
25 O. Sorg
28 M. Bähre

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Felix Brych · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.