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Premier League

Referee: Lee Probert

Leicester

S T T U T

2–0

Full-time

Brighton

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leicester Brighton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

7,0

2,0

Scored

3,0

0,0

Conceded

4,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leicester 13. · Brighton 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Swansea	2	0	1	1	-4	1
13	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-3	0
11	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.