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Eliteserien
Valerenga
T U T S S
2–0
Full-time
Lillestrom
S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
56%
31%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 69%
69%
69%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,1
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Valerenga 4. · Lillestrom 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 17 12 3 2 +29 39
2 Stabaek 17 9 5 3 +9 32
3 Viking 17 10 1 6 +12 31
4 Valerenga 16 9 3 4 +10 30
5 Stromsgodset 16 8 3 5 +2 27
6 Molde 17 7 4 6 +16 25
7 Odd 17 6 7 4 +2 25
8 Bodo/Glimt 18 7 2 9 -8 23
9 Lillestrom 16 5 7 4 +2 22
10 Start 17 5 4 8 -3 19
11 Sarpsborg 08 17 4 7 6 -4 19
12 Aalesund 17 5 4 8 -15 19
13 Haugesund 17 4 6 7 -11 18
14 Tromso 17 4 4 9 -5 16
15 Mjondalen 17 3 7 7 -13 16
16 Sandefjord 17 2 3 12 -23 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. May -15 Lillestrom – Valerenga 1–1

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.