Eliteserien
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lillestrom
Valerenga
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosenborg
|
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |
Odd
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 |
Molde
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 4 |
Brann
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 14 |
| 5 |
Haugesund
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 6 |
Stromsgodset
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |
Lillestrom
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Viking
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 10 |
Aalesund
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |
Sogndal
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 |
Valerenga
|
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 |
Tromso
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 |
Stabaek
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 16 |
Start
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Ofkir
M
G. Zahid
M
S. Berge
M
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Odd
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
Aalesund
Haugesund
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08
Molde
Lillestrom
Svein-Erik Edvartsen · 17 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.