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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein-Erik Edvartsen
Lillestrom
T S U U S
2–0
Full-time
Valerenga
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
86%
14%
Average goals
3,4
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%
16 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 7. · Valerenga 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 7 6 0 1 +11 18
2 Odd 7 4 2 1 +5 14
3 Molde 7 4 2 1 +4 14
4 Brann 7 4 2 1 +2 14
5 Haugesund 7 4 1 2 +4 13
6 Stromsgodset 7 4 1 2 +3 13
7 Lillestrom 7 2 4 1 +4 10
8 Viking 7 3 1 3 -3 10
9 Sarpsborg 08 7 2 3 2 +2 9
10 Aalesund 7 2 1 4 +1 7
11 Bodo/Glimt 7 2 1 4 -1 7
12 Sogndal 7 2 1 4 -4 7
13 Valerenga 7 2 0 5 -4 6
14 Tromso 7 1 3 3 -9 6
15 Stabaek 7 1 1 5 -6 4
16 Start 7 0 3 4 -9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Valerenga
1–0 F. Friday
S. Mikalsen
8′
2–0 Bassel Jradi
M. Ofkir
30′
Half-time 2–0
E. Knudtzon 🔁
↦ M. Lundemo
61′
65′
🔁 R. Lindkvist
↦ J. Arvidsson
68′
🔁 E. Ómarsson
↦ D. Brown
J. Kolstad 🔁
↦ Bassel Jradi
80′
88′
🟨 Ghayas Zahid
Bonke Innocent 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Kjetil Waehler
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

77 A. Origi G
16 H. Skogseid D
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
8 M. Martin M
10 M. Lundemo M
7 Bassel Jradi M
18 B. Innocent M
23 F. Friday F
20 M. Ofkir M
Bench (7)
11 E. Knudtzon
17 J. Kolstad
2 M. Falkeborn
5 O. Rindarøy
9 A. Vilhjálmsson
15 E. Brenden
29 E. Ødegaard

Valerenga

30 A. Falch G
8 J. Arvidsson D
3 E. Jääger D
24 K. Wæhler D
6 S. Larsen D
19 C. Grindheim F
7 D. Holm M
16 V. Sakor M
10 G. Zahid M
23 S. Berge M
26 D. Brown F
Bench (7)
9 R. Lindkvist
22 E. Ómarsson
14 H. Stengel
17 N. Castro
21 S. Juklerød
33 A. Nedrebø
34 A. Moller

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Svein-Erik Edvartsen · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.