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Ligue 1
Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj
Montpellier
T T T S T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
3,5
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Montpellier 11. · Strasbourg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Lyon 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Marseille 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 St Etienne 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Bordeaux 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 Angers 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Troyes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Toulouse 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Lille 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Montpellier 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Strasbourg 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Guingamp 2 1 0 1 -1 3
14 Rennes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Nice 2 0 0 2 -2 0
16 Caen 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Amiens 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Nantes 2 0 0 2 -4 0
19 Metz 3 0 0 3 -5 0
20 Dijon 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Montpellier Strasbourg
24′
I. Saadi 0–1
P. Martinez
27′
🟨 Yoann Salmier
Facundo Piriz 🟨
37′
37′
🟨 Jonas Martin
39′
🟨 Benjamin Corgnet
Daniel Congré 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–1
K. Dolly 🔁
↦ S. Sessègnon
52′
64′
🔁 D. Liénard
↦ I. Sacko
C. Ninga 🔁
↦ K. Bérigaud
71′
1–1 D. Congré
Pedro Mendes
72′
82′
🔁 J. Grimm
↦ B. Corgnet
S. Camara 🔁
↦ I. Mbenza
87′
88′
🔁 E. Seka
↦ J. Martin
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
40 B. Lecomte G
3 D. Congré D
5 Pedro Mendes D
2 R. Aguilar M
23 N. Mukiele D
28 S. Sessègnon M
7 P. Lasne M
27 F. Píriz M
11 K. Bérigaud F
14 G. Sio F
18 I. Mbenza M
Bench (7)
20 K. Dolly
29 C. Ninga
19 S. Camara
9 J. Ikoné
31 N. Cozza
4 Hilton
1 L. Pionnier

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Strasbourg

4-2-3-1
30 B. Kamara G
12 K. Mangane D
27 K. Lala D
4 P. Martinez D
21 Y. Salmier D
17 A. Gonçalves M
28 J. Martin M
10 B. Corgnet M
8 J. Aholou M
7 I. Sacko M
9 I. Saadi F
Bench (7)
11 D. Liénard
6 J. Grimm
22 E. Seka
13 J. Blayac
33 L. Zohi
5 V. Nogueira
16 A. Oukidja

Coach: T. Laurey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.