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Ligue 1

Referee: Sébastien Desiage

Troyes

T T U U S

0–1

Full-time

Nantes

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Nantes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

8 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 9

1 Offside 6

7 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Troyes 8. · Nantes 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Lyon	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Bordeaux	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Angers	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Troyes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Toulouse	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Lille	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Guingamp	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Nice	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Caen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Nantes	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Metz	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Lille	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Metz	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Bordeaux	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Metz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Lille	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.