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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hugo Miguel
Guimaraes
S T T S T
0–5
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
19 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guimaraes 10. · Sp Lisbon 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rio Ave 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Porto 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Benfica 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Sp Lisbon 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Estoril 3 2 0 1 +0 6
6 Belenenses 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 Maritimo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Sp Braga 2 1 0 1 -1 3
9 Portimonense 3 1 0 2 -2 3
10 Guimaraes 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Moreirense 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Feirense 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Pacos Ferreira 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Vitoria Setubal 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Tondela 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Aves 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Boavista 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Chaves 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guimaraes Sp Lisbon
3′
Bruno Fernandes 0–1
C. Piccini
21′
B. Dost 0–2
M. Acuña
23′
B. Dost 0–3
Fábio Coentrão
Half-time 0–3
Rafael Miranda 🔁
↦ B. Zungu
58′
Sturgeon 🔁
↦ P. Hurtado
58′
60′
Bruno Fernandes 0–4
Adrien Silva
62′
🔁 Iuri Medeiros
↦ M. Acuña
Rafael Miranda 🟨
64′
68′
🟨 Adrien Silva
Rafael Martins 🔁
↦ Hélder Ferreira
69′
Marcos Valente 🟨
73′
78′
🔁 J. Silva
↦ Fábio Coentrão
84′
🔁 André Pinto
↦ J. Mathieu
85′
Adrien Silva 0–5
Iuri Medeiros
Guillermo Celis 🟨
87′
90′
🟨 Bruno Fernandes
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Guimaraes

4-2-3-1
56 João Miguel G
20 João Aurélio D
2 Pedrão D
4 Marcos Valente D
17 F. Sacko D
16 P. Hurtado M
93 G. Celis M
8 B. Zungu M
91 D. Texeira F
22 Hélder Ferreira F
11 Raphinha M
Bench (7)
5 Rafael Miranda
71 Sturgeon
99 Rafael Martins
1 Douglas Jesus
72 Sueliton
68 Maga
80 Kiko

Coach: Pedro Martins

Sp Lisbon

4-2-3-1
1 Rui Patrício G
22 J. Mathieu D
5 Fábio Coentrão D
4 S. Coates D
92 C. Piccini D
23 Adrien Silva M
16 R. Battaglia M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
28 B. Dost F
9 M. Acuña M
77 Gelson Martins M
Bench (7)
45 Iuri Medeiros
3 J. Silva
6 André Pinto
88 S. Doumbia
11 Bruno César
18 R. Salin
10 A. Ruiz

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hugo Miguel · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.