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Championship

Referee: Andy Davies

Sunderland

T T U S U

0–2

Full-time

Leeds

U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Leeds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

This season — Championship · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

12 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sunderland 10. · Leeds 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Ipswich	4	4	0	0	+5	12
3	Wolves	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Nott'm Forest	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	QPR	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Preston	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Derby	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	Middlesbrough	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Sheffield United	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Sunderland	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Bristol City	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Leeds	3	1	2	0	+1	5
13	Sheffield Weds	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Hull	4	1	1	2	+1	4
15	Birmingham	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Norwich	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Aston Villa	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Reading	4	1	1	2	-2	4
19	Fulham	4	0	3	1	-1	3
20	Barnsley	4	1	0	3	-3	3
21	Burton Albion	4	1	0	3	-5	3
22	Millwall	4	0	2	2	-2	2
23	Bolton	4	0	2	2	-2	2
24	Brentford	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	QPR	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Ipswich	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Middlesbrough	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Nott'm Forest	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Sheffield United	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Preston	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Aston Villa	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Bristol City	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Reading	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Hull	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Norwich	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Barnsley	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Wolves	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Burton Albion	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Derby	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Sheffield Weds	2	0	2	0	+0	2
19	Leeds	2	0	2	0	+0	2
20	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Brentford	2	0	1	1	-1	1
22	Millwall	2	0	1	1	-1	1
23	Fulham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
24	Bolton	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Ipswich	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Cardiff	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Sunderland	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Derby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Sheffield Weds	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Fulham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Bolton	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Bristol City	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Hull	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Preston	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Millwall	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Norwich	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	QPR	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Middlesbrough	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Birmingham	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Barnsley	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Brentford	2	0	0	2	-3	0
21	Sheffield United	2	0	0	2	-3	0
22	Reading	2	0	0	2	-3	0
23	Aston Villa	2	0	0	2	-4	0
24	Burton Albion	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.