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Premier League

Referee: Jonathan Moss

Swansea

U S S S U

0–4

Full-time

Man United

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Man United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

0,0

4,0

Scored

0,0

4,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%

5 Shots 17

0 Shots on target 8

0 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Swansea 12. · Man United 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.