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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Manuel Gomes Costa

Benfica

S S U S S

5–0

Full-time

Belenenses

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Belenenses

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,0

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

59% Possession 41%

20 Shots 7

9 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 2

3 Offside 5

21 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 4. · Belenenses 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Rio Ave	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Porto	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Estoril	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Portimonense	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-7	3
11	Moreirense	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Feirense	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Aves	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Chaves	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rio Ave	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	-4	3
11	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Tondela	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Estoril	2	1	0	1	-3	3
6	Aves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Portimonense	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.