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League Cup

Referee: P Tierney

Sunderland

S S T S U

1–0

Full-time

Hull

S S U S U

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Hull

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

0,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,04 xG 0,79

51% Possession 49%

14 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 12

5 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	West Ham	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
2	Peterborough	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
3	Wolves	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
4	Fleetwood Town	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.2	6
5	Norwich	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
6	Lincoln	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
7	Sheffield United	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
8	Middlesbrough	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
9	Reading	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.3	4
10	Stoke	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.0	4
11	Bradford	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.3	4
12	Leyton Orient	2	1	1	0	+2	–	4
13	Barnsley	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
14	Millwall	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.4	4
15	Walsall	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
16	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+5	+1.5	3
17	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.8	3
18	Everton	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
19	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.8	3
20	West Brom	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
21	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
22	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
23	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.7	3
24	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
25	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
26	Luton	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.7	3
27	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
28	Crewe	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
29	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
30	Plymouth	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
31	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
32	Cambridge United	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
33	Blackpool	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
34	Southampton	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
35	Leicester	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
36	Sheffield Weds	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
37	Charlton	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.8	3
38	Stevenage	2	1	0	1	-2	-0.3	3
39	Watford	2	1	0	1	-3	–	3
40	Birmingham	2	1	0	1	-4	-1.5	3
41	Burnley	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.3	2
42	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
43	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
44	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
45	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
46	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
47	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
48	Bromley	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
49	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
50	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
51	Newport County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
52	Rochdale	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
53	Doncaster	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
54	AFC Wimbledon	2	0	1	1	-3	-3.8	1
55	Preston	2	0	1	1	-4	–	1
56	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	-4	-0.2	1
57	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
58	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
59	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
60	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
61	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
62	Barnet	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
63	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
64	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
65	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
66	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
67	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
68	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
69	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
70	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
71	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
72	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
73	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
74	Oldham	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
75	Exeter City	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
76	York	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
77	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
78	Colchester	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
79	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
80	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
81	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
82	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
83	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fleetwood Town	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.2	6
2	Stoke	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.0	4
3	Bradford	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.3	4
4	Barnsley	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
5	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.8	3
6	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
7	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
8	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.8	3
9	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
10	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
11	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.7	3
12	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
13	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
14	Crewe	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
15	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
16	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
17	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
18	Plymouth	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
19	Cambridge United	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
20	Sheffield Weds	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
21	Watford	2	1	0	1	-3	–	3
22	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
23	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
24	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
25	Bromley	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
26	Salford City	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
27	Stockport County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
28	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
29	Walsall	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
30	Preston	2	0	1	1	-4	–	1
31	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
32	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
33	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
34	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
35	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
36	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
37	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
38	Doncaster	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
39	Grimsby	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
40	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
41	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
42	York	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
43	Colchester	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
44	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
45	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
46	Blackpool	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
47	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
48	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0
49	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
50	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-5	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Peterborough	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
2	Lincoln	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
3	Sheffield United	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
4	Reading	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.3	4
5	Millwall	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.4	4
6	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+5	+1.5	3
7	Everton	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
8	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
9	West Brom	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
10	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
11	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
12	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
13	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
14	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
15	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
16	Luton	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.7	3
17	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
18	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
19	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
20	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
21	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
22	Walsall	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
23	Charlton	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.8	3
24	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
25	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
26	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
27	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
28	Doncaster	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
29	Newport County	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
30	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
31	Leyton Orient	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
32	Rochdale	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
33	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	-4	-0.2	1
34	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
35	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
36	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
37	Barnet	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
38	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
39	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
40	Bolton	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
41	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
42	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
43	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
44	Oldham	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
45	Exeter City	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
46	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
47	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
48	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
49	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	-3	-3.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Feb -25 Sunderland – Hull 0–1 20. Oct -24 Hull – Sunderland 0–1 19. Jan -24 Sunderland – Hull 0–1 26. Dec -23 Hull – Sunderland 0–1 7. Apr -23 Sunderland – Hull 4–4

Match report

Sunderland Hull

45′

🔁 John Egan

↦ Nobel Mendy

Half-time 0–0

54′

🟨 Lucas Gourna-Douath

59′

🔁 Joe Gelhardt

↦ Matt Crooks

60′

🔁 Regan Slater

↦ Lucas Gourna-Douath

60′

🔁 Christos Mouzakitis

↦ Robinio Vaz

Luke O'Nien 🟨

62′

Thomas Meunier 🔁

↦ Dayann Methalie

65′

1–0 Chemsdine Talbi ⚽

Thomas Meunier

71′

72′

🟨 John Egan

76′

🔁 Elliot Stroud

↦ Matt Targett

Alan Browne 🔁

↦ Malick Fofana

79′

Timur Tutierov 🔁

↦ Wilson Isidor

79′

Tom Proctor 🔁

↦ Chemsdine Talbi

86′

Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sunderland

4-2-3-1

M. Ellborg G

D. Methalie D

L. O'Nien D

O. Alderete D

T. Hume D

C. Rigg M

Jules Ahoka M

J. T. Bi M

C. Talbi M

M. Fofana M

W. Isidor F

Bench (9)

40 J. Whittaker

57 T. Tuterov

5 D. Ballard

8 A. Browne

12 T. Meunier

21 S. Moore

77 T. Proctor

27 N. Sadiki

48 Jenson Jones

Coach: R. Le Bris

Hull

4-2-3-1

D. Phillips G

L. Coyle D

L. Herrington D

N. Mendy D

M. Targett D

L. Gourna-Douath M

M. Crooks M

M. Cho M

J. Hjertø-Dahl M

S. Thomas M

R. Vaz F

Bench (9)

11 J. Gelhardt

3 R. Giles

55 Archie Howard

36 C. Mouzakitis

27 R. Slater

21 E. Stroud

15 J. Egan

26 K. Dowell

20 Óscar Steven Zambrano Preciado

Coach: S. Jakirović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

1,70

🔒

Betano 1,75 1xBet 1,73 Dafabet 1,73 Superbet 1,72 Marathonbet 1,71 Bet365 1,70 Unibet 1,70 Pinnacle 1,70 10Bet 1,69 Betfair 1,67 888Sport 1,67 BetVictor 1,67 William Hill 1,67 SBO 1,65

3,80

🔒

Pinnacle 3,88 Betano 3,85 Dafabet 3,85 1xBet 3,84 Marathonbet 3,84 Superbet 3,80 BetVictor 3,80 Unibet 3,75 Betfair 3,75 10Bet 3,70 Bet365 3,70 William Hill 3,50 888Sport 3,40 SBO 3,34

4,90

🔒

BetVictor 5,25 Pinnacle 5,21 Marathonbet 5,15 Betano 5,10 1xBet 5,05 Betfair 5,00 Dafabet 4,90 10Bet 4,80 Superbet 4,80 Bet365 4,75 William Hill 4,75 Unibet 4,70 888Sport 4,60 SBO 4,13

Over/under goals

O1,5

1,29

🔒

Betano 1,32 Pinnacle 1,31 10Bet 1,30 Superbet 1,30 BetVictor 1,30 Betfair 1,29 888Sport 1,29 Bet365 1,28 Unibet 1,27 1xBet 1,26 Marathonbet 1,26

U1,5 ✓

3,50

🔒

Unibet 3,60 Superbet 3,60 Pinnacle 3,58 Bet365 3,50 Betfair 3,50 888Sport 3,50 10Bet 3,45 1xBet 3,44 Marathonbet 3,44 Betano 3,40 BetVictor 3,10

O2,5

1,92

🔒

Betano 1,98 Pinnacle 1,98 Bet365 1,95 1xBet 1,94 Marathonbet 1,94 Superbet 1,92 10Bet 1,91 Betfair 1,90 SBO 1,89 BetVictor 1,87 Unibet 1,86 888Sport 1,85

U2,5 ✓

1,89

🔒

Pinnacle 1,91 Unibet 1,90 Superbet 1,90 SBO 1,89 1xBet 1,89 Marathonbet 1,89 Betano 1,88 10Bet 1,87 Betfair 1,87 Bet365 1,85 888Sport 1,85 BetVictor 1,80

O3,5

3,26

🔒