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Championship

Referee: Tim Robinson

Wrexham

U U T S U

1–1

Full-time

Burnley

T U T U T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wrexham Burnley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Championship · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

1,2

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

40%

80%

Both score Ø 80%

60%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,6

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,8

2,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,28 xG 1,50

53% Possession 47%

15 Shots 19

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wrexham 12. · Burnley 24. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Swansea	5	3	2	0	+6	+1.4	11
2	Middlesbrough	5	3	1	1	+3	+3.4	10
3	QPR	5	3	1	1	+3	+2.0	10
4	Bristol City	5	3	1	1	+2	-4.2	10
5	West Brom	5	3	1	1	+2	-1.9	10
6	Charlton	5	3	1	1	-1	-4.4	10
7	Millwall	5	3	0	2	+2	+2.3	9
8	Southampton	5	2	2	1	+5	+3.1	8
9	West Ham	5	2	2	1	+4	+0.5	8
10	Wolves	5	2	2	1	+3	+4.5	8
11	Birmingham	5	1	4	0	+1	+0.7	7
12	Wrexham	5	1	3	1	+2	+1.6	6
13	Norwich	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.4	6
14	Stoke	5	2	0	3	-1	-1.7	6
15	Portsmouth	5	2	0	3	-1	-0.2	6
16	Sheffield United	5	1	3	1	-1	-0.5	6
17	Blackburn	5	1	2	2	-1	-3.3	5
18	Watford	5	1	2	2	-2	-1.5	5
19	Lincoln	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.4	5
20	Derby	5	1	1	3	-5	-2.6	4
21	Bolton	5	1	1	3	-5	-1.1	4
22	Cardiff	5	0	3	2	-3	+0.8	3
23	Preston	5	1	0	4	-5	+0.8	3
24	Burnley	5	0	2	3	-6	-0.4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	West Brom	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.4	7
2	Southampton	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.7	6
3	West Ham	3	2	0	1	+4	+2.2	6
4	Millwall	3	2	0	1	+4	+1.7	6
5	Stoke	3	2	0	1	+4	+1.6	6
6	Middlesbrough	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.9	6
7	Charlton	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.6	6
8	Swansea	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.9	5
9	Wolves	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.1	4
10	Watford	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	4
11	QPR	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.6	4
12	Sheffield United	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.5	4
13	Norwich	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.0	3
14	Birmingham	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.0	3
15	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
16	Bolton	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
17	Bristol City	2	1	0	1	-1	-3.6	3
18	Portsmouth	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.1	3
19	Preston	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.2	3
20	Cardiff	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.4	2
21	Burnley	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.0	2
22	Lincoln	3	0	2	1	-2	+2.6	2
23	Wrexham	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.1	1
24	Derby	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bristol City	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.6	7
2	Swansea	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
3	QPR	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.3	6
4	Wrexham	3	1	2	0	+3	+0.5	5
5	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.7	4
6	Wolves	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.4	4
7	Middlesbrough	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.5	4
8	Charlton	3	1	1	1	-3	-3.8	4
9	Portsmouth	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.3	3
10	Lincoln	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.2	3
11	West Brom	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.3	3
12	Derby	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.0	3
13	Norwich	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.7	3
14	Millwall	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.6	3
15	West Ham	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.7	2
16	Sheffield United	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
17	Southampton	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.6	2
18	Blackburn	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.3	2
19	Cardiff	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.4	1
20	Watford	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.3	1
21	Bolton	3	0	1	2	-5	-1.6	1
22	Preston	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.6	0
23	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.4	0
24	Stoke	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wrexham Burnley

Issa Kabore 🟨

14′

26′

⚽ Zeki Amdouni 0–1

Largie Ramazani

Zak Vyner 🔁

↦ Max Cleworth

30′

Oliver Rathbone 🔁

↦ Lewis O'Brien

45′

Callum O'Hare 🔁

↦ Josh Windass

45′

Half-time 1–1

1–1 Jacques Ekomié ⚽

Issa Kabore

55′

Sam Smith 🔁

↦ Kieffer Moore

61′

65′

🟨 Aaron Ramsey

68′

🔁 Hjalmar Ekdal

↦ Igor Júlio

69′

🔁 Lucas Pires Silva

↦ Aaron Ramsey

78′

🔁 Reo Hatate

↦ Max Alleyne

Dominic Hyam 🟨

84′

Ryan·Longman 🔁

↦ Jacques Ekomié

85′

86′

🟨 Lucas Pires Silva

90′

🟨 Reo Hatate

Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Wrexham

3-4-2-1

A. Patterson G

M. Cleworth D

D. Hyam D

C. Doyle D

I. Kaboré M

M. James M

B. Whiteman M

J. Ekomié M

J. Windass M

L. O'Brien M

K. Moore F

Bench (9)

6 J. Worrall

21 D. Ward

26 Z. Vyner

28 S. Smith

20 O. Rathbone

17 C. O'Hare

47 R. Longman

30 Daniel Edward Peter Imray

33 N. Broadhead

Coach: P. Parkinson

Burnley

4-2-3-1

M. Weiß G

C. Roberts D

K. Walker D

Max Alleyne D

Igor D

U. Raghouber M

J. Laurent M

O. Sonne M

A. Ramsey M

L. Ramazani M

Z. Amdouni F

Bench (9)

15 A. Ahmedhodžić

27 A. Broja

30 L. Castell

37 G. Coudert

18 H. Ekdal

5 R. Hatate

17 A. Hountondji

23 Lucas Pires

47 E. Clark

Coach: N. Hayen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

2,02

🔒

Dafabet 2,07 Superbet 2,07 Pinnacle 2,05 Unibet 2,02 1xBet 2,01 SBO 2,00 Bet365 2,00 Betano 2,00 Betfair 2,00 888Sport 2,00 BetVictor 2,00 William Hill 2,00 Marathonbet 1,98 10Bet 1,97

U ✓

3,52

🔒

Pinnacle 3,69 Dafabet 3,60 Betano 3,55 Marathonbet 3,54 1xBet 3,52 10Bet 3,50 Bet365 3,50 Unibet 3,50 Betfair 3,50 Superbet 3,50 BetVictor 3,50 888Sport 3,40 William Hill 3,40 SBO 3,25

3,53

🔒

Bet365 3,70 Betano 3,70 Pinnacle 3,63 10Bet 3,60 Betfair 3,60 Dafabet 3,60 BetVictor 3,60 Superbet 3,55 Marathonbet 3,52 1xBet 3,50 Unibet 3,40 888Sport 3,40 William Hill 3,40 SBO 3,32

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,28

🔒

Betano 1,30 Pinnacle 1,29 Superbet 1,29 BetVictor 1,29 10Bet 1,28 Bet365 1,28 888Sport 1,25 1xBet 1,23 Marathonbet 1,23 Unibet 1,22 Betfair 1,22

U1,5

3,65

🔒

Betfair 4,10 Unibet 3,95 Pinnacle 3,76 Bet365 3,75 10Bet 3,65 Superbet 3,65 Betano 3,60 888Sport 3,50 1xBet 3,44 Marathonbet 3,44 BetVictor 3,20

O2,5

1,83

🔒

Pinnacle 1,93 Bet365 1,91 Betano 1,90 Superbet 1,90 SBO 1,88 1xBet 1,86 Marathonbet 1,86 888Sport 1,85 10Bet 1,83 BetVictor 1,82 Betfair 1,80 Unibet 1,74

U2,5 ✓

1,92

🔒

Unibet 2,00 Betfair 2,00 SBO 1,96 Pinnacle 1,96 10Bet 1,95 Betano 1,95 Superbet 1,92 1xBet 1,91 Bet365 1,91 Marathonbet 1,91 888Sport 1,85 BetVictor 1,85

O3,5

3,10

🔒