← Match Finder
Champions League
Referee: D Massa
Dortmund
U S T U U
4–0
Full-time
Villarreal
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Dortmund Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
100%
25%
Both score Ø 63%
100%
25%
Average goals
6,0
2,0
Scored
3,3
0,5
Conceded
2,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,62 xG 0,79
67% Possession 33%
13 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Dortmund Villarreal
1–0 S. Guirassy ⚽
A. Anselmino
45′
Half-time 1–0
52′
🟥 Juan Foyth
52′
ℹ️ Juan Foyth
VAR: Card upgrade
2–0 S. Guirassy ⚽
54′
3–0 K. Adeyemi ⚽
58′
65′
🔁 R. Marin
↦ T. Partey
65′
🔁 A. Moleiro
↦ N. Pepe
C. Chukwuemeka 🔁
↦ J. Brandt
68′
F. Silva 🔁
↦ S. Guirassy
68′
Karim Adeyemi 🟨
71′
74′
🔁 D. Parejo
↦ S. Comesana
J. Bellingham 🔁
↦ M. Sabitzer
77′
P. Gross 🔁
↦ F. Nmecha
77′
83′
🔁 I. Akhomach
↦ T. Buchanan
83′
🔁 P. Navarro
↦ S. Mourino
E. Can 🔁
↦ W. Anton
84′
4–0 D. Svensson ⚽
P. Gross
90′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Dortmund

3-4-2-1
1 G. Kobel G
28 A. Anselmino D
3 W. Anton D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
2 Y. Couto M
8 F. Nmecha M
20 M. Sabitzer M
24 D. Svensson M
27 K. Adeyemi F
10 J. Brandt F
9 S. Guirassy F
Bench (12)
31 S. Ostrzinski
33 A. Meyer
5 R. Bensebaini
7 J. Bellingham
13 P. Gross
16 J. Duranville
17 C. Chukwuemeka
21 F. Silva
23 E. Can
26 J. Ryerson
37 C. Campbell
39 F. Mane

Coach: Niko Kovac

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Luiz Junior G
15 S. Mourino D
8 J. Foyth D
12 R. Veiga D
23 S. Cardona D
14 S. Comesana M
16 T. Partey M
18 P. Gueye M
17 T. Buchanan M
19 N. Pepe F
21 T. Oluwaseyi F
Bench (12)
25 A. Tenas
3 A. Altimira
4 R. Marin
6 M. Solomon
7 G. Moreno
9 G. Mikautadze
10 D. Parejo
11 I. Akhomach
20 A. Moleiro
22 A. Perez
24 A. Pedraza
26 P. Navarro

Coach: Marcelino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.