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DFB-Pokal
Referee: T Bauer
0–5
Full-time
Dortmund
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

23% Possession 77%
2 Shots 36
1 Shots on target 12
0 Blocked shots 9
8 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 17
1 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +11 3
2 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +9 3
3 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +8 3
4 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +6 3
5 Dresden 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Magdeburg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 SSV Jeddeloh 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Werder Bremen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Elversberg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Bochum 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Darmstadt 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Altglienicke 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Wolfsburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Hertha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Greuther Furth 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Wurzburger Kickers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Waldhof Mannheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 Phönix Lübeck 1 0 0 1 -2 0
42 MSV Duisburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
43 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 St Pauli 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 TSV 1860 Munich 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -3 0
47 Heidenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
48 Lüneburger SK Hansa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
49 Verl 1 0 0 1 -3 0
50 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 0 0 1 -4 0
51 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -4 0
52 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
53 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
54 Bahlinger SC 1 0 0 1 -4 0
55 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
56 Eintracht Trier 1 0 0 1 -6 0
57 Westfalia Rhynern 1 0 0 1 -6 0
58 Hemelingen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
59 Krieschow 1 0 0 1 -9 0
60 SC St. Tönis 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

HEBC Dortmund
33′
J. Wrede 1–0
own goal
36′
D. Svensson 1–1
J. Ryerson
41′
S. Inacio 1–2
M. Sabitzer
45′
S. Inacio 1–3
J. Ryerson
Half-time 1–3
N. Ahmann 🔁
↦ J. Schoon
46′
46′
🔁 C. Chukwuemeka
↦ F. Nmecha
46′
🔁 M. Beier
↦ J. Ryerson
L. Aug 🔁
↦ P. Oldag
55′
M. Magens 🔁
↦ R. Schick
55′
58′
🔁 K. Prates
↦ D. Svensson
59′
F. Silva 1–4
J. Veerman
M. Wilhelm 🔁
↦ F. Lemke
67′
S. Demirovic 🔁
↦ T. Kohler
67′
67′
🔁 L. Reggiani
↦ W. Anton
Hammed Nawaz 🟨
72′
77′
🔁 K. Karetsas
↦ S. Inacio
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

HEBC

12 J. Schoon
33 C. Grunewald D
24 J. E. Stegemann D
15 J. Wrede D
18 J. Eggers D
27 L. von Zitzewitz D
17 R. Schick M
8 P. Oldag M
11 H. Nawaz M
21 F. Lemke M
7 T. Kohler F
Bench (9)
1 N. Ahmann
19 M. Nagel
16 M. A. Akturk
3 L. Aug
20 P. Onnen
10 M. Wilhelm
5 S. Demirovic
6 L. Garcia
22 M. Magens

Dortmund

4-3-3
33 A. Meyer G
26 J. Ryerson D
39 F. Mane D
3 W. Anton D
24 D. Svensson D
20 M. Sabitzer M
8 F. Nmecha M
25 J. Veerman M
40 S. Inacio F
21 F. Silva F
41 M. Albert F
Bench (9)
30 P. Drewes
49 L. Reggiani
22 J. Gadou
36 K. Prates
7 J. Bellingham
17 C. Chukwuemeka
19 K. Karetsas
14 M. Beier
9 S. Guirassy

Coach: Niko Kovac

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Bauer · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.