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Champions League
Referee: Michael Oliver
Real Madrid
S S S S T
2–1
Full-time
Inter
U U S S S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,91 xG 1,83
36% Possession 64%
16 Shots 21
8 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 11
2 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Real Madrid Inter
1–0 Kylian Mbappé ⚽
Brahim Díaz
14′
2–0 Federico Valverde ⚽
23′
39′
🟨 Hakan Çalhanoğlu
45′
🔁 John Stones
↦ Benjamin Pavard
Half-time 2–0
60′
🔁 Petar Sučić
↦ Nicolò Barella
60′
🔁 Piotr Zieliński
↦ Hakan Çalhanoğlu
60′
🔁 Ange-Yoan Bonny
↦ Marcus Thuram
77′
⚽ Carlos Augusto 2–1
Lautaro Martínez
Aurelien Tchouameni 🔁
↦ Trent Alexander-Arnold
79′
Yan Diomande 🔁
↦ Brahim Díaz
79′
Dean Huijsen 🟨
79′
79′
🟨 Lautaro Martínez
83′
🔁 Henrikh Mkhitaryan
↦ Carlos Augusto
Álvaro Fernández Carreras 🔁
↦ Vinícius
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-3-3
1 T. Courtois G
24 D. Dumfries D
16 I. Konaté D
4 D. Huijsen D
17 Marc Cucurella D
12 T. Alexander-Arnold M
8 F. Valverde M
5 J. Bellingham M
21 Brahim Díaz F
10 Kylian Mbappé F
7 Vinícius Júnior F
Bench (11)
29 J. Cestero Sancho
19 Carlos Espí
18 Álvaro Fernández
13 A. Lunin
26 Sergio Mestre
9 Endrick
27 Thiago Pitarch
33 Mario Rivas
22 A. Rüdiger
14 A. Tchouaméni
25 Y. Diomande

Coach: José Mourinho

Inter

3-5-2
1 Josep Martínez G
28 B. Pavard D
31 Y. Bisseck D
95 A. Bastoni D
17 A. Diouf M
23 N. Barella M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
21 C. Jones M
30 Carlos Augusto M
10 Lautaro Martínez F
9 M. Thuram F
Bench (11)
7 P. Zieliński
25 M. Akanji
14 A. Bonny
12 R. Di Gennaro
94 F. Esposito
11 Luis Henrique
22 H. Mkhitaryan
49 I. Provedel
5 A. Stanković
6 J. Stones
8 P. Sučić

Coach: C. Chivu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
🔒
U
4,50
🔒
B
5,00
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,12
🔒
U1,5
6,00
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,42
🔒
U2,5
2,79
🔒
O3,5
2,10
🔒
U3,5 ✓
1,76
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,49
🔒
BLS nei
2,50
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Michael Oliver · 163 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.