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Champions League

Referee: Szymon Marciniak

Porto

S S S S S

0–2

Full-time

Man City

U T S S S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Man City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

0,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,28 xG 2,32

36% Possession 64%

5 Shots 20

0 Shots on target 10

1 Blocked shots 4

8 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 5

7 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Match report

Porto Man City

37′

🟨 Josko Gvardiol

Half-time 0–1

47′

⚽ Erling Haaland 0–1

Enzo Fernández

48′

🔁 Abdukodir Khusanov

↦ Josko Gvardiol

49′

🟨 Gianluigi Donnarumma

62′

🔁 Iliman Ndiaye

↦ Antoine Semenyo

62′

🔁 Elliot Anderson

↦ Rayan Cherki

Hwang In-Beom 🔁

↦ Alan Gonzalo Varela

68′

Borja Sainz 🔁

↦ William Gomes

68′

Francisco Moura 🔁

↦ Martim Fernandes

73′

Santiago Giménez 🔁

↦ André Silva

73′

75′

🔁 Mateo Kovačić

↦ Ayyoub Bouaddi

75′

🔁 Rayan Aït-Nouri

↦ Phil Foden

Seko Fofana 🔁

↦ Gabri Veiga

83′

Francesco Farioli 🟨

86′

91′

⚽ Erling Haaland 0–2

Rayan Aït-Nouri

Pablo Rosario 🟨

93′

🟨 Erling Haaland

Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Porto

4-3-3

Diogo Costa G

Alberto Baio D

N. Pérez D

J. Kiwior D

Martim Fernandes D

P. Rosario M

A. Varela M

Gabri Veiga M

William F

André Silva F

Pepê Aquino F

Bench (12)

92 João Pedro Moreira Teixeira

14 Cláudio Ramos

24 Andorinha

57 Duarte Cunha

42 S. Fofana

29 S. Giménez

64 Luís Gomes

16 Hwang In-Beom

74 Francisco Moura

17 Borja Sainz

58 T. Silva

33 Souza

Coach: F. Farioli

Man City

4-2-3-1

G. Donnarumma G

Matheus Nunes D

Rúben Dias D

M. Guéhi D

J. Gvardiol D

A. Bouaddi M

E. Fernández M

A. Semenyo M

R. Cherki M

P. Foden M

E. Haaland F

Bench (11)

22 Vitor Nunes

28 G. Rulli

7 I. Ndiaye

56 R. McAidoo

82 R. Lewis

8 M. Kovačić

45 A. Khusanov

13 M. Bettinelli

5 E. Anderson

37 Allan

21 R. Aït-Nouri

Coach: E. Maresca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

5,00

🔒

Pinnacle 5,35 1xBet 5,27 Marathonbet 5,15 Betano 5,00 Unibet 5,00 Betfair 5,00 BetVictor 5,00 888Sport 4,80 William Hill 4,80 Bet365 4,75 Dafabet 4,50 Superbet 4,50 SBO 4,42 10Bet 4,40

4,00

🔒

1xBet 4,22 Marathonbet 4,20 Betano 4,15 Pinnacle 4,15 Bet365 4,10 BetVictor 4,10 Unibet 4,00 Betfair 4,00 Dafabet 4,00 Superbet 4,00 10Bet 3,90 888Sport 3,90 William Hill 3,90 SBO 3,74

B ✓

1,67

🔒

Dafabet 1,76 Betano 1,72 Superbet 1,72 10Bet 1,70 1xBet 1,67 Betfair 1,67 888Sport 1,67 Marathonbet 1,67 William Hill 1,67 SBO 1,66 Unibet 1,66 Bet365 1,65 Pinnacle 1,65 BetVictor 1,65

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,20

🔒

Betano 1,23 10Bet 1,22 Bet365 1,20 888Sport 1,20 Superbet 1,20 Unibet 1,19 1xBet 1,18 Betfair 1,18 BetVictor 1,18 Marathonbet 1,18

U1,5

4,50

🔒

Unibet 4,70 Superbet 4,60 Bet365 4,50 Betfair 4,50 888Sport 4,50 1xBet 4,45 Marathonbet 4,45 BetVictor 4,40 Betano 4,25 10Bet 4,20

O2,5

1,67

🔒

1xBet 1,70 Betano 1,70 Pinnacle 1,68 10Bet 1,67 Bet365 1,67 Marathonbet 1,67 SBO 1,66 888Sport 1,65 Superbet 1,65 Unibet 1,63 Betfair 1,62 BetVictor 1,62

U2,5 ✓

2,24

🔒

1xBet 2,29 SBO 2,28 Unibet 2,28 Pinnacle 2,27 Superbet 2,25 Marathonbet 2,24 Betano 2,22 Bet365 2,20 Betfair 2,20 888Sport 2,20 10Bet 2,15 BetVictor 2,12

O3,5

2,62

🔒