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Champions League
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
Club Brugge
S S U S T
1–3
Full-time
Aston Villa
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 10/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
50%
63%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
60%
38%
Both score Ø 43%
60%
25%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,05 xG 1,27
56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Nov -24 Club Brugge – Aston Villa 1–0

Match report

Club Brugge Aston Villa
3′
⚽ L. Bailey 0–1
1–1 M. De Cuyper ⚽
C. Tzolis
12′
Half-time 1–1
64′
🔁 B. Kamara
↦ L. Bailey
64′
🔁 Marco Asensio
↦ M. Rashford
64′
🔁 J. Ramsey
↦ J. McGinn
64′
🔁 M. Cash
↦ A. Disasi
82′
⚽ B. Mechele 2–1
own goal
H. Siquet 🔁
↦ C. Talbi
85′
G. Nilsson 🔁
↦ Ferran Jutglà
86′
88′
⚽ Marco Asensio 2–2
M. Skóraś 🔁
↦ K. Sabbe
90′
H. Vetlesen 🔁
↦ R. Onyedika
91′
91′
🔁 L. Bogarde
↦ O. Watkins
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
64 K. Sabbe D
4 J. Ordoñez D
44 B. Mechele D
55 M. De Cuyper D
15 R. Onyedika M
30 A. Jashari M
68 C. Talbi M
20 H. Vanaken M
8 C. Tzolis M
9 Ferran Jutglà F
Bench (10)
41 H. Siquet
19 G. Nilsson
10 H. Vetlesen
21 M. Skóraś
58 J. Spileers
27 C. Nielsen
2 Z. Romero
17 R. Vermant
29 N. Jackers
84 S. Campbell

Coach: N. Hayen

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
23 E. Martínez G
3 A. Disasi D
4 E. Konsa D
5 T. Mings D
12 L. Digne D
7 J. McGinn M
8 Y. Tielemans M
31 L. Bailey M
27 M. Rogers M
9 M. Rashford M
11 O. Watkins F
Bench (9)
44 B. Kamara
21 Marco Asensio
41 J. Ramsey
2 M. Cash
26 L. Bogarde
14 Pau Torres
25 R. Olsen
22 I. Maatsen
48 O. Zych

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.