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DFB-Pokal

Referee: R Hempel

Osnabruck

S T T T S

1–4

Full-time

Bayern Munich

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osnabruck Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,7

4,0

Scored

1,2

3,0

Conceded

2,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

33% Possession 67%

5 Shots 22

2 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 8

3 Offside 3

6 Free kicks against 9

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+9	3
3	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	SSV Jeddeloh	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Altglienicke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Waldhof Mannheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Phönix Lübeck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	MSV Duisburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	St Pauli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Lüneburger SK Hansa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Verl	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Bahlinger SC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
57	HEBC	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	Eintracht Trier	1	0	0	1	-6	0
59	Westfalia Rhynern	1	0	0	1	-6	0
60	Hemelingen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
61	Krieschow	1	0	0	1	-9	0
62	SC St. Tönis	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	SSV Jeddeloh	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Altglienicke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Waldhof Mannheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Phönix Lübeck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	MSV Duisburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Lüneburger SK Hansa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Verl	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
21	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-4	0
22	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
23	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
24	Bahlinger SC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
25	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
26	HEBC	1	0	0	1	-5	0
27	Eintracht Trier	1	0	0	1	-6	0
28	Westfalia Rhynern	1	0	0	1	-6	0
29	Hemelingen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
30	Krieschow	1	0	0	1	-9	0
31	SC St. Tönis	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+9	3
3	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	St Pauli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.