Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Championship

Referee: Matt Donohue

Burnley

U U T U T

1–1

Full-time

Middlesbrough

S S T S S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Burnley Middlesbrough

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Championship · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,3

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

3,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

11 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 2

5 Corners 1

11 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burnley 23. · Middlesbrough 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Swansea	4	3	1	0	+6	+1.4	10
2	QPR	4	3	1	0	+4	+2.0	10
3	Charlton	4	3	1	0	+3	-2.8	10
4	Southampton	4	2	1	1	+5	+4.6	7
5	Wolves	4	2	1	1	+3	+3.9	7
6	West Brom	4	2	1	1	+1	-1.9	7
7	Bristol City	4	2	1	1	+1	-4.2	7
8	Middlesbrough	3	2	0	1	+2	+3.4	6
9	Sheffield United	4	1	3	0	+1	-0.5	6
10	Birmingham	4	1	3	0	+1	+1.2	6
11	Millwall	4	2	0	2	-2	+2.3	6
12	Wrexham	4	1	2	1	+2	+1.6	5
13	West Ham	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.5	5
14	Blackburn	4	1	2	1	+0	-2.2	5
15	Watford	4	1	2	1	-1	-1.5	5
16	Bolton	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.1	4
17	Derby	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.6	4
18	Lincoln	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.1	4
19	Cardiff	4	0	3	1	-1	+0.8	3
20	Norwich	4	1	0	3	-2	+0.4	3
21	Portsmouth	4	1	0	3	-3	-0.2	3
22	Stoke	4	1	0	3	-5	-3.2	3
23	Burnley	3	0	1	2	-5	-0.4	1
24	Preston	4	0	0	4	-6	-0.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Southampton	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.7	6
2	Middlesbrough	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.9	6
3	Charlton	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.6	6
4	Wolves	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.1	4
5	West Brom	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.4	4
6	Swansea	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
7	Sheffield United	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.5	4
8	Watford	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	4
9	QPR	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.6	4
10	Norwich	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.0	3
11	West Ham	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.2	3
12	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
13	Millwall	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
14	Stoke	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.0	3
15	Bolton	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
16	Bristol City	2	1	0	1	-1	-3.6	3
17	Birmingham	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
18	Cardiff	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.4	2
19	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
20	Wrexham	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.1	1
21	Lincoln	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.1	1
22	Derby	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.7	1
23	Preston	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.9	0
24	Portsmouth	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Swansea	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
2	QPR	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.3	6
3	Wrexham	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.5	4
4	Bristol City	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.6	4
5	Charlton	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.2	4
6	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.7	4
7	Portsmouth	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.3	3
8	Derby	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.0	3
9	Wolves	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.9	3
10	Lincoln	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.2	3
11	West Brom	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.3	3
12	Millwall	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.6	3
13	West Ham	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.7	2
14	Blackburn	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.2	2
15	Sheffield United	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
16	Cardiff	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
17	Bolton	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.6	1
18	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.9	1
19	Watford	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.3	1
20	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
21	Preston	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.6	0
22	Norwich	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.7	0
23	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.4	0
24	Stoke	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Dec -24 Middlesbrough – Burnley 0–0 6. Dec -24 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 7. Apr -23 Middlesbrough – Burnley 1–2 17. Dec -22 Burnley – Middlesbrough 3–1 8. Apr -17 Middlesbrough – Burnley 0–0

Match report

Burnley Middlesbrough

23′

⚽ A. Morris 0–1

S. Berhalter

H. Mejbri 🟨

28′

39′

🟨 W. Lankshear

Half-time 0–1

L. Ramazani 🔁

↦ A. Hountondji

46′

M. Alleyne 🔁

↦ H. Mejbri

46′

1–1 U. Raghouber ⚽

Z. Amdouni

54′

61′

🔁 T. Conway

↦ R. McGree

61′

🔁 L. Castledine

↦ K. Joseph

71′

🟨 A. Jones

A. Ramsey 🔁

↦ Z. Amdouni

71′

74′

🔁 A. Phillips

↦ A. Jones

A. Broja 🔁

↦ J. Bruun Larsen

77′

M. Tresor Ndayishimiye 🔁

↦ D. Satpaev

81′

87′

🔁 D. Strelec

↦ W. Lankshear

U. Raghouber 🟨

91′

Full-time 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

2,75

🔒

Pinnacle 2,92 Dafabet 2,85 Superbet 2,82 1xBet 2,81 Betano 2,80 Betfair 2,80 BetVictor 2,80 Marathonbet 2,79 10Bet 2,70 Bet365 2,70 William Hill 2,70 Unibet 2,65 SBO 2,64

U ✓

3,50

🔒

10Bet 3,70 Betano 3,65 Pinnacle 3,63 Dafabet 3,60 BetVictor 3,60 Superbet 3,55 1xBet 3,50 Bet365 3,50 Betfair 3,50 Marathonbet 3,50 Unibet 3,45 William Hill 3,40 SBO 3,24

2,40

🔒

Unibet 2,48 Dafabet 2,43 Superbet 2,42 Pinnacle 2,41 Bet365 2,40 Betfair 2,40 William Hill 2,40 BetVictor 2,38 Betano 2,37 SBO 2,36 1xBet 2,35 10Bet 2,34 Marathonbet 2,34

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,20

🔒