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Coppa Italia
Referee: M Marchetti
Udinese
T T S U S
2–1
Full-time
Venezia
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Venezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Coppa Italia · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%
16 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 11. · Venezia 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cremonese 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Monza 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Frosinone 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Sassuolo 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Fiorentina 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Mantova 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Palermo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Venezia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Arezzo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Udinese 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Cagliari 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Parma 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Torino 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Benevento 2 1 0 1 -1 3
16 Ascoli 2 1 0 1 -1 3
17 Verona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Virtus Entella 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Catanzaro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Sudtirol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Pisa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Empoli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 Vicenza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Catania 2 0 1 1 -2 1
25 Modena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
26 Padova 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Ravenna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Potenza 1 0 0 1 -2 0
30 Lazio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
31 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Lecce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 Union Brescia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
35 Cesena 1 0 0 1 -3 0
36 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Venezia
9′
R. Sagrado 0–1
Nicolò Bertola 🟨
11′
1–1 V. Bayo
M. Vojvoda
34′
Half-time 1–1
J. Abankwah 🔁
↦ N. Bertola
46′
2–1 V. Bayo
K. Davis
53′
I. Gueye 🔁
↦ K. Davis
60′
71′
🔁 L. Fanne
↦ T. J. Helgason
H. Kamara 🔁
↦ M. Vojvoda
72′
O. Zarraga 🔁
↦ U. Gomez
72′
72′
🔁 R. Haps
↦ A. Gomes
74′
🔁 K. Lisman
↦ A. Rrahmani
82′
🔁 S. Panada
↦ M. Dagasso
82′
🔁 A. Adams
↦ L. Lauberbach
E. Ebosse 🔁
↦ C. Kabasele
85′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Udinese

3-4-2-1
41 B. Mrozek G
13 N. Bertola D
27 C. Kabasele D
28 O. Solet D
23 M. Vojvoda M
8 J. Karlstrom M
38 L. Miller M
20 J. Arizala M
46 U. Gomez F
15 V. Bayo F
9 K. Davis F
Bench (12)
93 D. Padelli
99 E. Piana
77 E. Ebosse
11 H. Kamara
14 J. Abankwah
4 S. Lovric
24 J. Piotrowski
32 J. Ekkelenkamp
79 D. Pejicic
6 O. Zarraga
7 I. Gueye
45 G. Vinciati

Coach: Kosta Runjaic

Venezia

3-5-2
96 L. Montipo G
95 A. Gomes D
17 A. Bella-Kotchap D
25 R. Halhal D
14 T. Correia M
21 T. J. Helgason M
30 M. Dagasso M
19 S. Sohm M
20 R. Sagrado M
29 L. Lauberbach F
7 A. Rrahmani F
Bench (14)
23 M. Grandi
28 A. Pozzi
15 Juan Jesus
5 R. Haps
70 P. Mazzocchi
3 J. Schingtienne
71 K. Perez
18 A. Hainaut
6 G. Busio
55 S. Panada
8 L. Fanne
36 L. Berardi
45 A. Adams
56 K. Lisman

Coach: Giovanni Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Marchetti · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.