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Bundesliga
Referee: Jakob Semler
Salzburg
U S S S S
5–1
Full-time
SK Rapid
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
2,5
3,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 88%
75%
100%
Points per game
2,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
2,3
3,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+3,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 17
9 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 3. · SK Rapid 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 LASK 5 5 0 0 +13 +8.6 15
2 SK Rapid 4 4 0 0 +12 +6.6 12
3 Salzburg 4 3 1 0 +7 +7.5 10
4 Sturm Graz 5 2 2 1 +1 +2.4 8
5 Tirol 5 2 1 2 +0 -1.7 7
6 Hartberg 5 2 0 3 -3 -4.3 6
7 Wolfsberger AC 5 1 2 2 +0 -4.1 5
8 A. Lustenau 5 1 2 2 -4 -3.2 5
9 Ried 5 1 1 3 -4 -0.6 4
10 Grazer AK 5 1 1 3 -11 -3.3 4
11 Altach 5 1 0 4 -4 -1.6 3
12 Austria Vienna 5 1 0 4 -7 -6.2 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Apr -26 SK Rapid – Salzburg 1–0 15. Mar -26 Salzburg – SK Rapid 0–1 8. Mar -26 SK Rapid – Salzburg 1–0 5. Oct -25 Salzburg – SK Rapid 2–1 24. May -25 Salzburg – SK Rapid 4–2

Match report

Salzburg SK Rapid
1–0 H. Tabakovic ⚽
S. Kitano
4′
2–0 N. Veratschnig ⚽
15′
3–0 H. Tabakovic ⚽
B. Mazurek
21′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 E. Roka
↦ J. Horn
46′
🔁 P. Dahl
↦ E. Kara
4–0 E. Baidoo ⚽
B. Mazurek
46′
51′
⚽ M. Seidl 4–1
N. Bajlicz
K. Konate 🔁
↦ H. Tabakovic
59′
A. Camara 🔁
↦ Y. Vertessen
59′
U. Tohumcu 🔁
↦ S. Kitano
68′
69′
🟨 Nenad Cvetković
74′
🔁 N. Wurmbrand
↦ T. Adamsen
74′
🔁 M. Tilio
↦ M. Haidara
E. Aguilar 🔁
↦ E. Baidoo
83′
85′
🔁 L. Schaub
↦ N. Bajlicz
5–1 K. Konate ⚽
90′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-2-3-1
52 C. Zawieschitzky G
18 N. Veratschnig D
44 K. Boma D
47 V. Zabransky D
31 D. Schmid D
32 A. Barry M
15 B. Mazurek M
20 E. Baidoo M
8 S. Kitano M
11 Y. Vertessen M
9 H. Tabakovic F
Bench (9)
1 C. Fruchtl
21 T. Drexler
39 L. Morgalla
13 F. Kratzig
4 J. Mellberg
7 U. Tohumcu
19 K. Konate
43 E. Aguilar
33 A. Camara

Coach: Danny Rohl

SK Rapid

4-3-3
1 N. Hedl G
77 B. Bolla D
55 N. Cvetkovic D
6 S. Raux-Yao D
38 J. Horn D
22 Y. Demir M
18 M. Seidl M
30 N. Bajlicz M
43 M. Haidara F
9 E. Kara F
8 T. Adamsen F
Bench (9)
25 P. Gartler
61 F. Demir
2 E. Roka
47 A. Groller
21 L. Schaub
15 N. Wurmbrand
10 P. Dahl
71 C. M'Buyi
7 M. Tilio

Coach: Johannes Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.