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Puchar Polski

Górnik Łęczna

T T U T S

3–3

Full-time

Stal Mielec

T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Górnik Łęczna Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Podhale Nowy Targ	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Olimpia Grudziądz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Śląsk Wrocław II	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Nieciecza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Stal Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Górnik Łęczna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Polonia Środa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Tychy 71	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Podbeskidzie	2	1	0	1	-1	3
23	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Sokół Kleczew	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Górnik Zabrze II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Kluczevia Stargard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Luzino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Wisla	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Kluczbork	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Warta Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Korona Kielce II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Świt Skolwin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Beskid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Wisła Płock II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Legia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Chemik Bydgoszcz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Podhale Nowy Targ	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Stal Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Górnik Łęczna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Polonia Środa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Odra Opole	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Tychy 71	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Górnik Zabrze II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Kluczevia Stargard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Luzino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Kluczbork	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Warta Poznan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Korona Kielce II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Beskid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Wisła Płock II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Chemik Bydgoszcz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nieciecza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Olimpia Grudziądz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Sokół Kleczew	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Wisla	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Świt Skolwin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	ŁKS Łódź II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Kalisz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Legia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.