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KNVB Beker
Staphorst
U T S T T
2–2
Full-time
UNA
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Staphorst UNA
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frisia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Koninklijke HFC 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 AFC '34 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Eemdijk 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 TEC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Achilles Veen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Kloetinge 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Sportlust '46 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 AFC Amsterdam 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 SC Genemuiden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Excelsior '31 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 ADO '20 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 FC Lisse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Almkerk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Poortugaal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 NSVV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Blauw Geel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Be Quick 1887 1 0 0 1 -2 0
21 VV Scherpenzeel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
22 Elinkwijk 1 0 0 1 -3 0
23 HZVV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
24 LONGA '30 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Staphorst UNA
5′
Y. Mejres 0–1
1–1 S. Crowther
34′
Half-time 1–1
S. Crowther
penalty missed
78′
2–1 M. de Koe
103′
121′
L. Jagt 2–2
penalty missed
121′
122′
O. Yelkovan 2–3
122′
2–4
3–4
122′
123′
penalty missed
4–4
123′
124′
4–5
5–5
124′
125′
5–6
6–6
125′
126′
6–7
7–7
126′
penalty missed
127′
127′
penalty missed
8–7
127′
Full-time 8–7

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.