Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Frisia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 |
Koninklijke HFC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |
AFC '34
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Eemdijk
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |
TEC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 |
Achilles Veen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Kloetinge
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Sportlust '46
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |
AFC Amsterdam
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 |
SC Genemuiden
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Excelsior '31
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |
ADO '20
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 13 |
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 14 |
FC Lisse
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Harkemase Boys
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Almkerk
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 |
Poortugaal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 |
NSVV
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 |
Blauw Geel
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 |
Be Quick 1887
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 |
VV Scherpenzeel
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 22 |
Elinkwijk
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 23 |
HZVV
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 24 |
LONGA '30
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sparta Nijkerk
Almere City
Sparta Nijkerk
Kloetinge
Harkemase Boys
Sparta Nijkerk
De Graafschap
Sparta Nijkerk
Sparta Nijkerk
Capelle
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.