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Pro League

Referee: J Boterberg

St Truiden

T T U S S

2–1

Full-time

St. Gilloise

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden St. Gilloise

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 64%

60%

68%

Points per game

1,9

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

48%

40%

Both score Ø 48%

48%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

0,9

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,77 xG 0,28

77% Possession 23%

14 Shots 3

5 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St Truiden 3. · St. Gilloise 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	25	20	1	4	+29	+15.4	61
2	St. Gilloise	25	17	8	0	+31	+22.9	59
3	St Truiden	25	15	3	7	+15	+15.3	48
4	Genk	25	10	8	7	+4	+10.3	38
5	Gent	24	11	5	8	+4	+0.9	38
6	Mechelen	25	10	8	7	+1	-9.6	38
7	Cercle Brugge	29	10	7	12	+1	+3.7	37
8	Waregem	29	11	4	14	-2	-5.5	37
9	Antwerp	25	10	5	10	+5	+0.3	35
10	Anderlecht	25	9	6	10	+0	+3.0	33
11	Westerlo	26	8	8	10	-5	-1.8	32
12	Standard	25	8	6	11	-12	-12.0	30
13	Charleroi	26	8	5	13	-4	-3.0	29
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	26	5	8	13	-17	-9.5	23
15	RAAL La Louviere	28	4	10	14	-19	-11.0	22
16	Dender	28	3	6	19	-31	-19.3	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	12	1	0	+23	+13.4	37
2	Club Brugge	12	9	1	2	+15	+7.5	28
3	St Truiden	12	8	0	4	+3	+7.2	24
4	Gent	12	6	2	4	+6	-1.0	20
5	Genk	13	5	5	3	+4	+9.8	20
6	Waregem	14	6	2	6	+3	+0.7	20
7	Antwerp	12	5	3	4	+3	+1.4	18
8	Anderlecht	12	4	4	4	+5	+6.9	16
9	Westerlo	14	4	4	6	-2	-1.3	16
10	Mechelen	13	4	4	5	-2	-2.4	16
11	Charleroi	13	4	3	6	-1	-0.6	15
12	Cercle Brugge	15	3	3	9	-7	+1.4	12
13	RAAL La Louviere	14	2	6	6	-7	-2.5	12
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	2	4	7	-6	-3.2	10
15	Standard	12	1	5	6	-9	-2.9	8
16	Dender	14	1	2	11	-20	-9.9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	13	11	0	2	+14	+7.9	33
2	Cercle Brugge	14	7	4	3	+8	+2.2	25
3	St Truiden	13	7	3	3	+12	+8.0	24
4	St. Gilloise	12	5	7	0	+8	+9.6	22
5	Mechelen	12	6	4	2	+3	-7.2	22
6	Standard	13	7	1	5	-3	-9.1	22
7	Genk	12	5	3	4	+0	+0.6	18
8	Gent	12	5	3	4	-2	+1.9	18
9	Antwerp	13	5	2	6	+2	-1.1	17
10	Waregem	15	5	2	8	-5	-6.2	17
11	Anderlecht	13	5	2	6	-5	-3.9	17
12	Westerlo	12	4	4	4	-3	-0.5	16
13	Charleroi	13	4	2	7	-3	-2.4	14
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	3	4	6	-11	-6.3	13
15	Dender	14	2	4	8	-11	-9.4	10
16	RAAL La Louviere	14	2	4	8	-12	-8.5	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.