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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
Kortrijk
U T S T S
1–0
Full-time
Genk
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,3
This season — Pro League · 18/15 matches
Win Ø 58%
22%
93%
Points per game
0,8
2,9
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
56%
73%
Both score Ø 58%
56%
60%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,8
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
18 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 17. · Genk 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 15 14 1 0 +32 43
2 St. Gilloise 16 13 2 1 +20 41
3 Antwerp 15 11 1 3 +14 34
4 Club Brugge 16 10 2 4 +15 32
5 Gent 15 9 2 4 +15 29
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 8 5 6 +9 29
7 Cercle Brugge 16 7 5 4 +4 26
8 St Truiden 18 7 5 6 -1 26
9 Anderlecht 17 7 2 8 +7 23
10 Charleroi 17 7 1 9 -6 22
11 Eupen 20 7 1 12 -14 22
12 Westerlo 15 6 3 6 +1 21
13 Standard 14 7 0 7 +0 21
14 Mechelen 18 5 4 9 -7 19
15 Oostende 19 5 3 11 -20 18
16 Waregem 18 4 4 10 -15 16
17 Kortrijk 18 4 3 11 -18 15
18 Seraing 18 3 2 13 -18 11
19 Seraing United 18 3 2 13 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Genk
Billal Messaoudi 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
55′
🟨 Paul Onuachu
Nayel Mehssatou 🟨
60′
68′
🔁 A. Preciado
↦ M. Trésor
68′
🔁 N. Castro
↦ B. El Khannouss
68′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ P. Onuachu
H. Keïta 🔁
↦ M. Bruno
74′
Habib Keita 🟨
81′
P. Guèye 🔁
↦ B. Messaoudi
81′
D. Mbayo 🔁
↦ A. Kadri
82′
1–0 F. Avenatti
83′
Stjepan Lončar 🟨
85′
89′
🔁 A. Ouattara
↦ Mujaid Sadick
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kortrijk

5-3-2
1 T. Vandenberghe G
6 O. Sych D
44 João Silva D
4 T. Watanabe D
25 N. Mehssatou D
70 M. Bruno D
18 A. Kadri M
33 S. Lončar M
10 F. Selemani M
20 F. Avenatti F
9 B. Messaoudi F
Bench (7)
12 H. Keïta
17 P. Guèye
7 D. Mbayo
22 J. Mugabo
16 M. Deman
99 Luqman Hakim Shamsudin
32 S. Tanaka

Coach: B. Storck

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
3 Mujaid Sadick D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
17 P. Hrošovský M
8 B. Heynen M
28 J. Paintsil M
34 B. El Khannouss M
11 M. Trésor M
18 P. Onuachu F
Bench (7)
77 A. Preciado
10 N. Castro
7 M. Samatta
4 A. Ouattara
22 R. Carstensen
15 J. Geusens
40 T. Leysen

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
6,27
U
4,73
B
1,44
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,51
U2,5 ✓
2,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.