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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
1–4
Full-time
St. Gilloise
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
This season — Pro League · 31/26 matches
Win Ø 55%
32%
77%
Points per game
1,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
65%
69%
Both score Ø 59%
71%
46%
Average goals
3,1
3,4
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12. · St. Gilloise 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 26 20 3 3 +44 63
2 Anderlecht 27 17 8 2 +44 59
3 Club Brugge 26 17 5 4 +29 56
4 Antwerp 27 17 4 6 +20 55
5 Gent 26 13 7 6 +18 46
6 Charleroi 27 13 7 7 +10 46
7 Cercle Brugge 32 12 7 13 +7 43
8 Kortrijk 32 11 10 11 +4 43
9 Mechelen 27 13 4 10 +0 43
10 St Truiden 32 12 6 14 -5 42
11 Genk 25 12 5 8 +19 41
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 31 10 10 11 -4 40
13 Standard 31 9 9 13 -13 36
14 Oostende 31 10 5 16 -26 35
15 Eupen 32 8 8 16 -15 32
16 Waregem 32 8 8 16 -27 32
17 Seraing 30 7 2 21 -37 23
18 Seraing United 30 7 2 21 -37 23
19 Beerschot VA 32 5 4 23 -31 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven St. Gilloise
1–0 S. Schrijvers
11′
27′
D. Undav 1–1
L. Amani
Mandela Keita 🟨
30′
L. Shengelia 🔁
↦ C. De Norre
38′
Sébastien Dewaest 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–2
48′
D. Undav 1–2
T. Teuma
A. De Sart 🔁
↦ K. Malinov
55′
58′
T. Teuma 1–3
K. Machida
61′
ℹ️ Kacper Kozłowski
VAR: Penalty awarded
62′
D. Undav 1–4
63′
🔁 K. Mitoma
↦ K. Kozłowski
P. Ngawa 🔁
↦ S. Chakla
70′
T. Vlietinck 🔁
↦ M. Keita
71′
78′
🔁 Álex Millán
↦ T. Teuma
85′
🔁 D. Marcq
↦ D. Undav
86′
🔁 G. François
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
86′
🔁 I. Ziani
↦ L. Lapoussin
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-3
13 R. Rúnarsson G
6 S. Dewaest D
24 C. De Norre M
3 S. Chakla D
35 C. Özkaçar D
4 K. Malinov M
10 X. Mercier F
27 M. Keita M
8 S. Schrijvers F
11 Mousa Al-Tamari M
9 S. Kaba F
Bench (7)
19 L. Shengelia
21 A. De Sart
5 P. Ngawa
14 T. Vlietinck
17 M. Kukharevych
25 L. Patris
90 R. Romo

Coach: M. Brys

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
59 I. Kandouss D
17 T. Teuma M
6 C. Nielsen M
8 L. Amani M
64 K. Kozłowski F
9 D. Undav F
94 L. Lapoussin M
Bench (7)
18 K. Mitoma
11 Álex Millán
25 D. Marcq
19 G. François
24 I. Ziani
44 S. Van der Heyden
21 L. Pirard

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,46
U
4,01
B ✓
1,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,24
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.