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Europa League
Referee: J Brisard
St. Gilloise
U T T S U
1–1
Full-time
Roma
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
1,3
Scored
0,3
0,7
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,83 xG 0,62
42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
22 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

St. Gilloise Roma
4′
🟨 Eldor Shomurodov
27′
🟨 Zeki Çelik
Half-time 0–0
55′
🔁 A. Dovbyk
↦ E. Shomurodov
55′
🔁 N. Pisilli
↦ E. Le Fée
62′
⚽ G. Mancini 0–1
L. Pellegrini
K. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ A. Khalaili
69′
A. Ait El Hadj 🔁
↦ M. Fuseini
69′
1–1 K. Mac Allister ⚽
C. Vanhoutte
77′
S. Boufal 🔁
↦ F. Ivanović
79′
79′
🔁 N. Zalewski
↦ T. Baldanzi
79′
🔁 M. Soulé
↦ S. El Shaarawy
Charles Vanhoutte 🟨
89′
Ross Sykes 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
26 R. Sykes D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
5 K. Mac Allister M
25 A. Khalaili M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
27 N. Sadiki M
22 O. Niang M
9 F. Ivanović F
77 M. Fuseini F
Bench (10)
13 K. Rodríguez
10 A. Ait El Hadj
23 S. Boufal
6 K. Van de Perre
48 F. Leysen
1 V. Chambaere
33 S. Berradi
4 M. Rasmussen
14 J. Imbrechts
7 E. Kabangu

Coach: S. Pocognoli

Roma

3-4-2-1
99 M. Svilar G
23 G. Mancini D
4 B. Cristante D
3 Angeliño D
19 Z. Çelik M
17 M. Koné M
28 E. Le Fée M
92 S. El Shaarawy M
35 T. Baldanzi F
7 L. Pellegrini F
14 E. Shomurodov F
Bench (11)
11 A. Dovbyk
61 N. Pisilli
59 N. Zalewski
18 M. Soulé
16 L. Paredes
21 P. Dybala
12 Saud Abdulhamid
66 Buba Sangaré
98 M. Ryan
89 R. Bellucci
15 M. Hummels

Coach: I. Jurić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.