Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bristol City
Leeds
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sunderland
|
11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +12 | +2.3 | 25 |
| 2 |
Burnley
|
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +12 | +1.5 | 22 |
| 3 |
Leeds
|
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +11 | +10.7 | 22 |
| 4 |
Sheffield United
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +6 | +2.6 | 21 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | +4.9 | 19 |
| 6 |
Blackburn
|
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +5 | -0.0 | 19 |
| 7 |
Norwich
|
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +6 | +5.0 | 17 |
| 8 |
Middlesbrough
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +2 | +10.6 | 17 |
| 9 |
Watford
|
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -4 | -5.6 | 16 |
| 10 |
Bristol City
|
11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | -2 | +1.2 | 15 |
| 11 |
Sheffield Weds
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -5 | -1.9 | 15 |
| 12 |
Oxford
|
11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +2 | -3.1 | 14 |
| 13 |
Derby
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +0 | -1.9 | 14 |
| 14 |
Millwall
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +2 | +8.1 | 13 |
| 15 |
Swansea
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +1 | -2.4 | 13 |
| 16 |
Hull
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | -2.9 | 13 |
| 17 |
Preston
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | -2.9 | 13 |
| 18 |
Stoke
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | -5.0 | 12 |
| 19 |
Luton
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | +2.9 | 11 |
| 20 |
Cardiff
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -7 | -2.1 | 11 |
| 21 |
Plymouth
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -9 | -11.2 | 11 |
| 22 |
Coventry
|
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -4 | +1.4 | 9 |
| 23 |
QPR
|
11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -8 | -2.8 | 8 |
| 24 |
Portsmouth
|
12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -13 | -9.3 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. O’Leary
G
G. Tanner
D
Z. Vyner
D
M. Sykes
M
J. Knight
M
R. McCrorie
M
Y. Hirakawa
F
M. Bird
F
Coach: L. Manning
I. Meslier
G
J. Bogle
D
J. Rodon
D
P. Struijk
D
S. Byram
D
J. Rothwell
M
A. Tanaka
M
D. James
M
B. Aaronson
M
W. Gnonto
M
J. Piroe
F
Coach: D. Farke
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Stoke
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
Bristol City
Cardiff
Bristol City
Sheffield Weds
Swansea
Bristol City
J Linington · 154 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.