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Championship
Referee: O Langford
Sunderland
T S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Oxford
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Oxford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 50%
73%
27%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 59%
45%
73%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,9
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,22 xG 0,15
64% Possession 36%
13 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sunderland 1. · Oxford 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sunderland 11 8 1 2 +12 +2.3 25
2 Leeds 12 6 5 1 +11 +11.9 23
3 Burnley 11 6 4 1 +12 +1.5 22
4 Sheffield United 11 6 3 2 +6 +2.6 21
5 West Brom 11 5 4 2 +6 +4.9 19
6 Blackburn 12 5 4 3 +4 -0.6 19
7 Watford 12 6 1 5 -3 -5.0 19
8 Norwich 11 4 5 2 +6 +5.0 17
9 Middlesbrough 11 5 2 4 +2 +10.6 17
10 Bristol City 12 3 7 2 -2 -0.0 16
11 Sheffield Weds 12 4 3 5 -5 -1.9 15
12 Oxford 11 3 5 3 +2 -3.1 14
13 Derby 11 4 2 5 +0 -1.9 14
14 Millwall 11 3 4 4 +2 +8.1 13
15 Swansea 11 3 4 4 +1 -2.4 13
16 Hull 11 3 4 4 -2 -2.9 13
17 Preston 11 3 4 4 -4 -2.9 13
18 Stoke 11 3 3 5 -2 -5.0 12
19 Coventry 12 3 3 6 -3 +3.0 12
20 Luton 12 3 2 7 -6 +1.2 11
21 Cardiff 11 3 2 6 -7 -2.1 11
22 Plymouth 11 3 2 6 -9 -11.2 11
23 QPR 11 1 5 5 -8 -2.8 8
24 Portsmouth 12 1 5 6 -13 -9.3 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sunderland Oxford
1–0 J. Bellingham
T. Hume
16′
Chris Mepham 🟨
23′
Wilson Isidor 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Leigh
↦ I. El Mizouni
51′
🟨 Dane Scarlett
2–0 W. Isidor
D. Neil
63′
75′
🔁 J. McEachran
↦ W. Vaulks
75′
🔁 H. ter Avest
↦ P. Kioso
75′
🔁 L. Sibley
↦ Ruben Rodrigues
77′
🟨 Louie Sibley
A. Browne 🔁
↦ C. Rigg
78′
A. Connolly 🔁
↦ R. Mundle
78′
81′
🔁 W. Goodwin
↦ D. Scarlett
T. Watson 🔁
↦ W. Isidor
89′
L. Hjelde 🔁
↦ C. Mepham
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sunderland

4-3-3
21 S. Moore G
32 T. Hume D
26 C. Mepham D
13 L. O'Nien D
3 D. Cirkin D
11 C. Rigg M
4 D. Neil M
7 J. Bellingham M
10 P. Roberts F
18 W. Isidor F
14 R. Mundle F
Bench (9)
8 A. Browne
24 A. Connolly
40 T. Watson
33 L. Hjelde
15 N. Rusyn
30 M. Aleksić
41 Z. Johnson
16 B. Noukeu
22 A. Aouchiche

Coach: R. Le Bris

Oxford

4-1-4-1
1 J. Cumming G
30 P. Kioso D
5 E. Moore D
16 B. Nelson D
3 C. Brown D
4 W. Vaulks M
19 T. Goodrham M
20 Ruben Rodrigues M
15 I. El Mizouni M
9 M. Harris M
44 D. Scarlett F
Bench (9)
22 G. Leigh
6 J. McEachran
24 H. ter Avest
14 L. Sibley
25 W. Goodwin
21 M. Ingram
2 S. Long
11 M. Ebiowei
17 O. Dale

Coach: D. Buckingham

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,56
U
4,22
B
5,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Langford · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.